California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk

Jan 23, 2026 - Whereas California’s labor market has stagnated over the last two years, the S&P 500 stock index has appreciated roughly 50 percent over the same period. And most of this increase has come from skyrocketing share prices among a handful of firms associated with innovations in Artificial Intelligence (AI).
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5104

The 2026-27 Budget: Overview of the Governor's Budget

Jan 12, 2026 - After 2026‑27, these proposals would add about $200 million in ongoing spending. Some of the largest spending augmentations proposed for the budget window include: (1) $76 million for utility replacement and site improvements at Exposition Park, (2) $67 million to the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection for fixed‑wing aircraft pilot and mechanics contract
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5101

The 2026-27 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook

Nov 19, 2025 - The stock market (S &P 500) has risen 50  percent in the last two years. Most of these gains come from the meteoric rise in the value of a handful of tech companies that investors believe will be major beneficiaries of recent advances in AI.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5091

The 2024-25 Budget: Overview of the Spending Plan

Sep 6, 2024 - Specifically, the budget cuts $400   million from the Active Transportation Program, $200   million planned for grade separation projects, and $75   million from the Highways ‑to ‑Boulevards Pilot Program.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4922

The 2025-26 Budget: Overview of the Spending Plan

Oct 16, 2025 - DOF has not yet received official claims from all affected local governments, but early estimates indicate expenditures for these purposes could be around $200  million across the 2024 ‑25 and 2025 ‑26 budget years.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5079

The 2022-23 Budget: Overview of the Governor's Budget

Jan 13, 2022 - Specifically, the budget proposes $500  million for tax credits to builders of rental housing affordable to low ‑income households, $200  million for mixed ‑income housing, $200  million to preserve affordable housing units, and $100  million to preserve affordable mobile  homes.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4492

The 2022-23 Budget: Overview of the Spending Plan

Oct 12, 2022 - This funding is in addition to $200 million annually in continuously ‑appropriated funding from the Greenhouse Gas Reduction Fund (GGRF) for similar purposes. Second, the spending plan provides roughly $850  million in 2022 ‑23, of which about $500  million is   ongoing —almost  entirely from the General   Fund —for  various augmentations aimed at enhancing the state ’s wildfire response.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4616

The 2021-22 Budget: Initial Comments on the Governor’s May Revision

May 17, 2021 - We only plan to update this figure for very significant changes (that is, those greater than $500 million). CDPH = California Department of Public Health; COVID ‑19 = coronavirus disease 2019; CHHS = California Health and Human Services Agency; HHS = Health and Human Services; GARE = Government Alliance on Race and Equity; EMSA = Emergency Medical Services Authority; CalAIM =
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4432/2

The 2025-26 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook

Nov 20, 2024 - Furthermore, a single company (Nvidia) accounts for about one ‑third of the total gains in the S &P 500 stock index over the last year. Overall, without more positive signs from the broader California economy, it is difficult to be highly confident in the recent revenue recovery.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4939

The 2024-25 Budget: Overview of the Governor's Budget

Jan 13, 2024 - The largest include: a nearly $800 million reduction to state departments’ operation budgets, proposed to be allocated through departments’ vacancy rates; about $500 million in savings to continue an existing two‑week delay in Medi‑Cal payments; a $500 million reduction to the school facilities aid program; and a $350 million reduction to legislative district projects.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4825