The 2023-24 Budget: California's Film Tax Credit

Feb 28, 2023 - ” IZA Journal of Labor economics 2 (2013): 1 ‑23. Hollenbeck, Kevin, and Wei ‑Jang Huang. “Net impact and benefit ‑cost estimates of the workforce development system in Washington State. ” (2017). Jackson, C.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4713

The 2025-26 California Spending Plan: Other Provisions

Oct 16, 2025 - In both cases, (1)  the assumed level of savings is lower than what was assumed as part of the 2024-25 budget package and (2) savings that were assumed unallocated in 2024-25 are assumed to be distributed to departments in 2025-26 Control Section 4.05: Reduced Operational Costs Distributed to Departments.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5081/

The 2026-27 Budget: California Competes Extension

Mar 18, 2026 - All three of these changes could have contributed to the trend shown in Figure  2 if (1)  The 25  percent rule was favoring smaller businesses above better-qualified applicants from larger firms, (2)  larger businesses provide better evidence on how the credit affects their decision-making, and (3)  larger firms are more likely to have, or participate in, job training programs.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5162

The 2026-27 Budget: CDTFA’s Cannabis and Tobacco Programs

Feb 23, 2026 - From 2021 ‑22 to 2024 ‑25, tobacco tax revenues dropped 14  percent per year —much faster than the 2  percent historical average. Potential explanations for this decline include: A drop in actual tobacco consumption —the flavor ban ’s intended outcome.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5132

California’s Low-Wage Workers and Minimum Wage

Mar 11, 2024 - In this context, the two main parts of the Arellano and Bonhomme (2017) model are (1)  a set of equations that predict the conditional quantiles of the wage distribution, and (2)  an equation that predicts whether each worker responds to the survey ’s wage questions.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4878/4

Effect of Returning to Historical Estimated Tax Payment Schedule

Feb 27, 2023 - Specifically, the minimum funding requirement would go down by roughly $2  billion in 2023 ‑24 and remain the same amount in 2024 ‑25. The revenue shift also would have minor effects on Proposition  2 (2014) reserve requirements.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4722

The 2025-26 Budget: Governor’s Office of Business and Economic Development

Mar 18, 2025 - Governor ’s Proposal $25  Million for Semiconductor Design Facility. The Governor ’s budget proposes a one-time General Fund appropriation of $25  million in 2025-26 for GO-Biz to support capital expenditures incurred during the development of the DCF.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5018

California’s Low-Wage Workers and Minimum Wage

Mar 11, 2024 - Rate of Low-Wage Work Declines Substantially From Ages 25 to 32. As shown in Figure  3, our estimates suggest that the share of workers in low-wage jobs declines by more than one-third between the ages of 25 and 32.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4878/2

The 2023-24 Budget: Multiyear Budget Outlook

May 23, 2023 - As a result, the Legislature would need to address this additional budget problem as part of the 2024 ‑25 budget process. (This would add to the double ‑digit budget problem for 2024 ‑25 already projected under both our and the administration ’s estimates, as we describe below.)
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4772

The 2025-26 Budget: CDTFA’s Tobacco Programs

Feb 14, 2025 - The Cigarette and Tobacco Products Compliance Fund had a $2  million surplus in 2023-24 and entered 2024-25 with a $12  million balance. In principle, these resources, together with the proposed augmentation, should cover the cost of implementing these laws without any need to redirect resources away from other aspects of the licensing program.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4966