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Economy and Taxes (103)
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California’s Low-Wage Workers and Minimum Wage

Mar 11, 2024 - Strikingly, net mobility out of low-wage work seems to stop abruptly when workers are in their early 30s. Between the ages of 32 and 40, the estimated rate of low-wage work declines so slowly that it is nearly flat.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4878/2

California’s Low-Wage Workers and Minimum Wage

Mar 11, 2024 - “Gender Wage Gap Widens Even As Low-Wage Workers See Strong Gains. ” Working Economics Blog, Economic Policy Institute. Wiltshire, Justin, Carl McPherson, and Michael Reich (2023). “Minimum Wage Effects and Monopsony Explanations. ” Washington Center for Equitable Growth Working Paper Series.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4878/3

California’s Low-Wage Workers and Minimum Wage

Mar 11, 2024 - We assess the pseudo-out-of-sample prediction errors for each specification using the monthly CPS from January to December 2022 as our training set and the monthly CPS from January to December 2023 as our test set.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4878/4

California’s Low-Wage Workers and Minimum Wage

Mar 11, 2024 - Many California cities —and the unincorporated areas of Los Angeles County and San Mateo County —set minimum wages that exceed the $16-per-hour statewide minimum. We list some of these policies in Figure  1 below.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4878

California’s Low-Wage Workers and Minimum Wage

Mar 11, 2024 - Figure  3 shows that most low-wage workers live in households without any children under 18. Roughly 20  percent live with one child, 15  percent with two children, and fewer than 10  percent with three or more children.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4878/1

The 2026-27 Budget: California Competes Extension

Mar 18, 2026 - High Recapture Rate Can be Seen as a Feature … On one hand, high recapture rates can be seen as not a significant issue, and even a sign that the program is working as intended: Companies are incentivized by a tax break if they manage to achieve agreed-upon job and investment targets, but if they fail to do so, the state incurs no expense since the credit is never claimed or is paid back to the state.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5162

The 2026-27 Budget: State Mandate—Disclosure Requirements and Deferral of Property Taxation

Feb 19, 2026 - Property owners seeking tax relief under Proposition  19 must file a claim with the county in which the new (replacement) residence is located. After Proposition  19 went into effect, a backlog of claims developed, and some tax bills were sent to property owners that had not been updated to reflect the lower amounts they were entitled to pay under the terms of Proposition  19.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5130

The 2025-26 Budget: CDTFA’s Tobacco Programs

Feb 14, 2025 - For example, when CDTFA seizes a retailer ’s noncompliant products, this counts as one seizure, regardless of the total amount of product seized. Can the administration provide workload measures that account for some of these limitations?
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4966

The 2025-26 California Spending Plan: Other Provisions

Oct 16, 2025 - The 2025-26 budget package assumes ongoing savings of $489.8  million ($182.3  million General Fund) (see Attachment 3 of the May 14, 2025 DOF letter) resulting from the permanent elimination of 6,002 vacant positions beginning in 2025-26 (see Attachment 4 of the May 14, 2025 DOF letter).
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5081

Overview of Diversity Efforts in the Film Tax Credit Program

May 1, 2025 - The statute outlining DEIA provisions for the film tax credit states that the goals of diversity workplans and initiatives should be “broadly reflective of California ’s population, in terms of race, ethnicity, gender, and disability status. ” To get a sense of how proportional the current labor force of tax credit recipients is relative to the population, Figure
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5036