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Budget and Policy Post

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Annual Report on Tax Exemptions for Medicinal Cannabis

June 13, 2024 - Chapter 837 of 2019 (SB 34, Wiener) established new tax exemptions for donations of medicinal cannabis. The law directs our office to submit an annual report containing data on three outcomes related to the exemptions: the number of medicinal cannabis patients served, the amount of medicinal cannabis products donated, and the amount of tax revenue lost. This post fulfills that statutory requirement for 2023.


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The 2024-25 Budget: Preliminary May Revision Analysis for CalWORKs

May 29, 2024 - Provides initial high-level takeaways and comments regarding May Revision proposals for the California Work Opportunity and Responsibility to Kids (CalWORKs) program. Includes comments on the overall CalWORKs budget with a focus on new proposals at the time of the administration’s May Revision.


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The 2024-25 Budget: Juvenile Custodial Interrogation Mandate

May 28, 2024 - In this post, we discuss the Juvenile Custodial Interrogations mandate, which is a newly identified state mandate funded in the Governor’s 2024-25 May Revision budget.


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The 2024-25 Budget: Preliminary May Revision Analysis for Child Welfare

May 24, 2024 - This post provides initial high-level takeaways and comments regarding May Revision proposals for child welfare programs. Includes comments on the overall child welfare budget—focusing on new proposals at the time of the administration’s May Revision—as well as comments and questions related to the updated proposal for statutorily required permanent foster care rates.


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The 2024-25 Budget: Multiyear Budget Outlook

May 23, 2024 - This post presents our office’s forecast of the condition of the state General Fund budget through 2027-28 under our revenue estimates and assuming the Governor’s May Revision policies were adopted.


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The 2024-25 Budget: Broadband Infrastructure at May Revision

May 23, 2024 - This post assesses and makes recommendations regarding the Governor’s 2024-25 May Revision proposals related to broadband infrastructure.


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The 2024-25 Budget: The MCO Tax Package at May Revision

May 22, 2024 - This post provides our initial assessment of the Governor’s proposed managed care organization (MCO) tax package in the May Revision. It first provides background on the MCO tax and the package that was in place at Governor’s budget. (The Governor’s budget included a plan to implement a multiyear spending framework that was adopted in last year’s budget.) Next, it summarizes the proposed changes at May Revision. It then provides our initial assessment and recommendations.


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The 2024-25 Budget: Future of Public Health Budget Solution

May 21, 2024 - The proposed elimination to the Future of Public Health funding very likely would adversely impact the ability of the California Department of Public Health and local health jurisdictions to maintain the effort to improve public health made since the pandemic. The Legislature might consider whether there is a middle ground between fully eliminating and fully maintaining the Future of Public Health funding. We note that any reduction to the size of the public health budget solution would however require a budget solution of an equivalent amount elsewhere in the budget.


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The 2024-25 Budget: Proposed Reductions to State Operations

May 21, 2024 - The Governor’s May Revision proposes to (1) administratively establish a new ongoing unallocated 7.95 percent reduction to state operation expenditures and (2) make the 2024-25 unallocated reduction to state operation expenditures related to vacant positions ongoing (it was approved as “one time” as part of the Legislature’s early action package). Between the two proposals, the administration proposes that the Legislature delegate responsibility to the Governor to determine how to permanently reduce state operations by roughly 10 percent. As we discuss in this post, we think there is merit to the Department of Finance finding operational efficiencies; however, (1) any resulting reductions would be made based on the Governor's priorities and not necessarily the Legislature's priorities and (2) we think there is a high risk that the level of savings assumed from these two unallocated reductions will not fully materialize in 2024-25. To the extent that savings do not materialize, these proposals would create a larger future budget challenge.


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The 2024-25 Budget: State Preschool

April 16, 2024 - This post analyzes 2024-25 Governor’s budget proposal related to State Preschool.


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Evaluation of a Tax Exemption for Zero-Emission Buses

April 15, 2024 - Published in accordance with Chapter 353 of 2022 (AB 2622, Mullin), which directs our office to review the effectiveness of a partial sales tax exemption for zero-emission buses.


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The 2024-25 Budget: State Employee Compensation

March 21, 2024 - In this post, we analyze the Governor's proposals to (1) use vacancy rates to identify one-time unallocated spending reductions across state departments through a budget exercise, (2) eliminate the telework stipend established under current labor agreements, and (3) defer June 2025 payroll by one day to reduce state payroll costs in 2024-25 by one month's payroll.


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The 2024-25 Budget: Department of Social Services Immigration and Equity Programs

March 15, 2024 - In this post, we provide an overview of the Governor's 2024-25 budget proposals for certain immigration and equity programs at the Department of Social Services.


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The 2024-25 Budget: California State Library

March 13, 2024 - This post analyzes the Governor’s January budget proposals for the State Library. The post first provides background on the State Library, then provides an update on the implementation of recent local assistance initiatives. Next, it discusses the Governor’s budget proposals and concludes by providing associated recommendations.


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California’s Low-Wage Workers and Minimum Wage

March 11, 2024 - The first part of this report describes low-wage workers' occupations, genders, races/ethnicities, birthplaces, household structures, educational attainment, and weekly hours. The second part focuses on low-wage workers' ages. The third part compares the statewide minimum wage to various benchmarks to assess whether it is high, low, or somewhere in between.