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Economy and Taxes (60)
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Building Reserves to Prepare for a Recession

Mar 7, 2018 - By most measures, the recession of the early 1990s was more severe than the dot ‑com bust in the early 2000s. For example, unemployment in California reached 9. 7  p ercent in mid ‑ to late ‑1992, but peaked at 6. 9  p ercent after the dot ‑com bust.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3769

The 2018-19 May Revision: LAO Economic Outlook

May 12, 2018 - The typical PE ratio since 1990 is 21 (19 if the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s and early 2000s is excluded). Similar to the price-to-earnings ratio, the home price-to-rent ratio is used to gauge if home prices are in line with underlying demand for housing.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3829

Managing California’s Cash

Sep 3, 2019 - After a period of relative calm in the mid ‑ and late ‑1990s, California faced another series of years with acute budget problems following the dot ‑com bust and ensuing recession. Although the dot ‑com bust was relatively mild in economic terms, it hit the California budget —which is particularly reliant on the Bay Area ’s technology sector —especially hard.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4092

The 2025-26 California Spending Plan: Other Provisions

Oct 16, 2025 - The budget includes provisional language authorizing the Department of Finance to augment State Emergency Telephone Number Account fund expenditure authority by amounts “necessary to continue implementation of the Next Generation 9-1-1 system, including transition from the legacy 9-1-1 system, ” subject to 30-day legislative notification.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5081

Fixing Unemployment Insurance

Dec 2, 2024 - For example, if California had entered the pandemic with equivalently sized reserves, it still would have required a federal loan, but that loan would have reached $9  billion, rather than $20  billion.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4943

The 2026-27 Budget: CDTFA’s Cannabis and Tobacco Programs

Feb 23, 2026 - The Governor proposes augmentations of $3.8  million in 2026 ‑27, $3.7  million in 2027 ‑28, $3.7  million in 2028 ‑29, and $1.2  million in 2029 ‑30 and ongoing from the Compliance Fund for the Tobacco Licensing Program to enforce AB  3218 and other flavor ban laws.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5132

The 2018-19 Budget: The Administration's Proposition 55 Estimates in the May Revision

May 22, 2018 - Proposition  55 (2016) extended tax rate increases on high ‑income earners from 2018 until 2030 (which voters originally passed on a temporary basis in 2012 as part of Proposition  30). Revenues raised by the measure benefit the General Fund.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3844

The 2025-26 Budget: Governor’s Office of Business and Economic Development

Mar 18, 2025 - Removing 30  Percent Cap on Individual Awards Reasonable. Current rules stipulate that an applicant may not receive more than 30  percent of the grant funding available in a fiscal year. Since the Governor ’s proposal would provide $60  million for grants, compared to $120  million in prior iterations, the cap on individual awards would be $18  million, down from $36  million.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5018

The 2025-26 Budget: Update on Implementation of New Firearm and Ammunition Tax

Feb 19, 2025 - For example, the 2024-25 budget eliminated $9  million in General Fund support for CalVIP beginning in 2025-26 due to the anticipation of GVPSS Fund monies being available to support the program instead.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4970

Overview of Diversity Efforts in the Film Tax Credit Program

May 1, 2025 - The broad structure of the new requirement is as follows: Within 30 days of receiving a credit allocation letter, applicants must submit a DEIA Workplan that reflects California ’s population in terms of race, ethnicity, gender, and disability status and includes specific DEIA goals and how the applicant intends to fulfill them.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5036