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Economy and Taxes (67)
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Building Reserves to Prepare for a Recession

Mar 7, 2018 - By most measures, the recession of the early 1990s was more severe than the dot ‑com bust in the early 2000s. For example, unemployment in California reached 9. 7  p ercent in mid ‑ to late ‑1992, but peaked at 6. 9  p ercent after the dot ‑com bust.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3769

The 2018-19 May Revision: LAO Economic Outlook

May 12, 2018 - The typical PE ratio since 1990 is 21 (19 if the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s and early 2000s is excluded). Similar to the price-to-earnings ratio, the home price-to-rent ratio is used to gauge if home prices are in line with underlying demand for housing.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3829

The 2019-20 Budget: Overview of the Governor's Budget

Jan 14, 2019 - The federal Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act sought to reduce the number of people without health insurance coverage in part by imposing a financial penalty on those without health insurance (known as the “individual mandate ”).
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3916

Managing California’s Cash

Sep 3, 2019 - After a period of relative calm in the mid ‑ and late ‑1990s, California faced another series of years with acute budget problems following the dot ‑com bust and ensuing recession. Although the dot ‑com bust was relatively mild in economic terms, it hit the California budget —which is particularly reliant on the Bay Area ’s technology sector —especially hard.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4092

The 2026-27 Budget: California Competes Extension

Mar 18, 2026 - To address this, the 2021, 2022, and 2023 budget acts each provided one-time funding of $120  million for a grant program to supplement the tax credit. The Governor ’s budget proposals in 2024 and 2025 each included $60  million to fund the grant program but were not included in the final budget act due to projected deficits in those years.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5162

The 2026-27 Budget: CDTFA’s Cannabis and Tobacco Programs

Feb 23, 2026 - First, the budget act included a one ‑year $3.5  million increase in the appropriation for the Tobacco Licensing Program. Second, the Legislature passed and the Governor signed Chapter  269 (AB  573, Rogers).
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5132

The 2026-27 Budget: State Mandate—Disclosure Requirements and Deferral of Property Taxation

Feb 19, 2026 - Below, we discuss “Disclosure Requirements and Deferral of Property Taxation, ” a newly identified mandate since enactment of the 2025-26 Budget Act . Background New Requirements for Los Angeles County.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5130

The 2026-27 Budget: State Mandate—Disclosure Requirements and Deferral of Property Taxation [Publication Details]

Feb 19, 2026 - In this post, we discuss “Disclosure Requirements and Deferral of Property Taxation,” a newly identified mandate since enactment of the 2025-26 Budget Act.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Detail/5130

Annual Report on Tax Exemptions for Medicinal Cannabis

Jun 24, 2025 - Chapter  837 of 2019 (SB  34, Wiener) established new tax exemptions for donations of medicinal cannabis. The law directs our office to submit an annual report containing data on three outcomes related to the exemptions: the number of medicinal cannabis patients served, the amount of medicinal cannabis products donated, and the amount of tax revenue lost.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5059

Local Sales Tax Rebates in 2023-24

Sep 16, 2025 - In 2019, the Governor vetoed SB  531 (Glazer), which would have enacted further restrictions. The veto message described these agreements as “an important local tool that captures additional economic activity, particularly in rural and inland California cities that continue to face significant economic challenges like high unemployment rates. ” 2024 Law Requires Disclosure of Local Sales Tax Rebates.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5074