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Economy and Taxes (40)
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Building Reserves to Prepare for a Recession

Mar 7, 2018 - By most measures, the recession of the early 1990s was more severe than the dot ‑com bust in the early 2000s. For example, unemployment in California reached 9. 7  p ercent in mid ‑ to late ‑1992, but peaked at 6. 9  p ercent after the dot ‑com bust.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3769

The 2018-19 May Revision: LAO Economic Outlook

May 12, 2018 - The typical PE ratio since 1990 is 21 (19 if the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s and early 2000s is excluded). Similar to the price-to-earnings ratio, the home price-to-rent ratio is used to gauge if home prices are in line with underlying demand for housing.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3829

Managing California’s Cash

Sep 3, 2019 - After a period of relative calm in the mid ‑ and late ‑1990s, California faced another series of years with acute budget problems following the dot ‑com bust and ensuing recession. Although the dot ‑com bust was relatively mild in economic terms, it hit the California budget —which is particularly reliant on the Bay Area ’s technology sector —especially hard.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4092

Fixing Unemployment Insurance

Dec 2, 2024 - Figure  8 shows how this would play out if contributions and benefits continue to track with historical trends over the next two decades. As the figure shows, we do not expect the state to achieve solvency without the federal surcharge.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4943

The 2025-26 Budget: Update on Implementation of New Firearm and Ammunition Tax

Feb 19, 2025 - Subject to Legislative Appropriation $50.0 CDE Program or activities (such as physical security improvements and school ‑based mental health services) addressing risk factors for gun violence affecting K ‑12 students. 3 15.0 JC Court ‑based firearm relinquishment grant program to facilitate removal of firearms and ammunition from individuals who become prohibited from owning or possessing them
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4970

California’s Low-Wage Workers and Minimum Wage

Mar 11, 2024 - Over the last decade, two statutes —Chapter  351 of 2013 (AB  10, Alejo) and Chapter  4 of 2016 (SB  3, Leno) —gradually have increased California ’s statewide minimum wage from $8 per hour to $16 per hour.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4878

The 2025-26 Budget: California’s Film Tax Credit

Feb 28, 2025 - Figure  8 shows the distribution of such incentives across the U.S. Tax credits based on a percentage of expenditures made in ‑state are the most common type of incentive, but several states provide rebates or partial exemptions from taxation.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5000

The 2017-18 Budget: Governor's Gann Limit Proposal

Mar 2, 2017 - As revenues surged during the dot ‑com boom of the late 1990s, however, the state approached the limit. The state had excess revenues in 1999 ‑00, but because appropriations were under the limit in 2000 ‑01, additional Proposition  98 spending and taxpayer rebates were not required.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3596

Effect of Returning to Historical Estimated Tax Payment Schedule [Publication Details]

Feb 27, 2023 - Effect of Returning to Historical Estimated Tax Payment Schedule [Publication Details] Effect of Returning to Historical Estimated Tax Payment Schedule Format: HTML Description: Returning personal and corporate income tax estimated payment amounts to four equal payments, beginning in tax year 2024, would shift about 8 percent of personal income tax estimated payments and 13 percent of corporation estimated payments from 2023‑24 to 2024‑25.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Detail/4722

Effect of Returning to Historical Estimated Tax Payment Schedule

Feb 27, 2023 - Returning personal and corporate income tax estimated payment amounts to four equal payments, beginning in tax year 2024, would shift about 8  percent of personal income tax estimated payments and 13  percent of corporation estimated payments from 2023 ‑24 to 2024 ‑25.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4722