Building Reserves to Prepare for a Recession

Mar 7, 2018 - By most measures, the recession of the early 1990s was more severe than the dot ‑com bust in the early 2000s. For example, unemployment in California reached 9. 7  p ercent in mid ‑ to late ‑1992, but peaked at 6. 9  p ercent after the dot ‑com bust.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3769

The 2018-19 May Revision: LAO Economic Outlook

May 12, 2018 - The typical PE ratio since 1990 is 21 (19 if the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s and early 2000s is excluded). Similar to the price-to-earnings ratio, the home price-to-rent ratio is used to gauge if home prices are in line with underlying demand for housing.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3829

The 2020-21 Budget: Overview of the Governor's Budget

Jan 13, 2020 - At the bottom of the figure, we display the total reserves planned for the end of 2020 ‑21 under the administration ’s estimates and assumptions. Under the Governor ’s proposed budget, the state would end 2020 ‑21 with $20. 5  b illion in total reserves.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4135

Managing California’s Cash

Sep 3, 2019 - After a period of relative calm in the mid ‑ and late ‑1990s, California faced another series of years with acute budget problems following the dot ‑com bust and ensuing recession. Although the dot ‑com bust was relatively mild in economic terms, it hit the California budget —which is particularly reliant on the Bay Area ’s technology sector —especially hard.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4092

The 2025-26 California Spending Plan: Other Provisions

Oct 16, 2025 - State Employee Compensation Legislature Ratified New Agreements With All 21 Bargaining Units. Chapter 5 of 2025 (AB 102, Gabriel) amended the budget to include Control Section 3.90, which established an expectation that the administration would meet and confer in good faith with all 21 of the state’s bargaining units before July 1, 2025 to achieve budgetary savings.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5081

Fixing Unemployment Insurance

Dec 2, 2024 - During the phase ‑in period, the state also entered the dot ‑com recession. These two cost pressures absorbed the remaining flexibility in the state ’s UI tax system. As  shown in Figure  4 , the state began this period in Schedule C but quickly moved to Schedule F+, the highest tax schedule, where it has remained since.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4943

The 2025-26 Budget: CDTFA’s Tobacco Programs

Feb 14, 2025 - The number of inspections conducted in 2022-23 and 2023-24 was 52  percent lower than in 2020-21 and 2021-22. Over the same period, the number of citations issued dropped by 24  percent. These drops are particularly striking given that staff concerns about COVID-19 exposure likely diminished substantially over that period.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4966

The 2020-21 Spending Plan: Tax Changes

Oct 5, 2020 - The 2020-21 Spending Plan: Tax Changes The 2020-21 Spending Plan: Tax Changes The 2020 ‑21 budget package included several tax policy changes. Overall, the budget package assumes these changes will result in a net revenue increase of about $4  billion in 2020 ‑21.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4270

The 2017-18 Budget: Governor's Gann Limit Proposal

Mar 2, 2017 - As revenues surged during the dot ‑com boom of the late 1990s, however, the state approached the limit. The state had excess revenues in 1999 ‑00, but because appropriations were under the limit in 2000 ‑01, additional Proposition  98 spending and taxpayer rebates were not required.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3596

The 2025-26 Budget: California’s Film Tax Credit

Feb 28, 2025 - A recent shift away from claims against the corporate income tax and towards sales and use taxes is at least partially due to temporary restrictions placed on the use of tax credits as part of the 2020 ‑21 budget package.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5000