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Economy and Taxes (81)
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Long-term Capacity for Debt Payments Under Proposition 2

Dec 21, 2017 - However, in a recession excess capital gains likely will be low or zero and Proposition 2 debt funding only results from the calculation’s base amount. In our Fiscal Outlook estimates, under a recession scenario, Proposition 2 debt payment funding would be about $400 million lower in each 2019‑20 and 2020‑21 and $250 million lower in 2021‑22.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3727

The 2026-27 Budget: California Competes Extension

Mar 18, 2026 - All three of these changes could have contributed to the trend shown in Figure  2 if (1)  The 25  percent rule was favoring smaller businesses above better-qualified applicants from larger firms, (2)  larger businesses provide better evidence on how the credit affects their decision-making, and (3)  larger firms are more likely to have, or participate in, job training programs.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5162

The 2026-27 Budget: State Mandate—Disclosure Requirements and Deferral of Property Taxation

Feb 19, 2026 - The California Constitution requires the state to reimburse local governments when (1)  new state laws or regulations mandate that they implement a new program or higher level of service and (2)  the local government does not have offsetting revenues available to fully cover the associated costs.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5130

The 2025-26 Budget: CDTFA’s Tobacco Programs

Feb 14, 2025 - This suggests that the annual revenue loss from the flavor ban might be around $300  million to $400  million. Interpretation of Revenue Loss Unclear. Under the flavor ban, people who otherwise would consume flavored tobacco have three main options: (1)  avoid tobacco use altogether, (2)  switch to unflavored tobacco products, or (3)  obtain flavored tobacco from sources that violate the ban or from sources not subject to the ban (for example, other states).
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4966

The 2026-27 Budget: CDTFA’s Cannabis and Tobacco Programs

Feb 23, 2026 - The Governor proposes covering an additional $2  million of annual flavor ban enforcement costs by using existing Compliance Fund appropriations that the department has not been spending. Hemp ‑Derived Cannabinoids.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5132

The 2025-26 California Spending Plan: Other Provisions

Oct 16, 2025 - The budget package (1)  extends the PTET through tax year 2030, and (2)  allows taxpayers to make a late prepayment for tax years 2026 onward, subject to a 12.5  percent reduction in the corresponding credit.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5081/

Local Sales Tax Rebates in 2023-24

Sep 16, 2025 - Substantial Rebates in Many Counties … As shown in Figure  2, 2023-24 rebate payments varied across counties. In nine counties, rebates exceeded $5 per resident. In seven others, rebates ranged from $1 to $5 per resident.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5074

The 2022-23 Budget: Fuel Price and Other Fiscal Relief Options

May 12, 2022 - We also summarize these considerations in Figure  2 . Figure 2 Key Considerations for Designing a Fiscal Relief Package Which groups of Californians to prioritize in providing relief? Which potential policies best align with the Legislature ’s relief priorities?
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4597

Updating the California Necessities Index

Aug 14, 2025 - Figure  2 shows differences between the proposed measures in each year since 1978. In about half of years, the CNI differed from the CA CPI ‑U and the CA CPI ‑W by at least 1  percentage point. Therefore, using the CA CPI ‑U or CA CPI ‑W to adjust payments would likely result in significantly different benefit increases in some years relative to the CNI.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5065

Overview of Diversity Efforts in the Film Tax Credit Program

May 1, 2025 - The percentages presented in Figure  1 alone do not give a sense of how diverse the labor forces of version 3.0 productions are relative to both (1)  the overall motion picture workforce in California and (2)  California ’s population as a whole.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5036