The Property Tax Inheritance Exclusion

Oct 9, 2017 - This share is higher in some counties, such as Mendocino (9  percent), San Luis Obispo (7  percent), El Dorado (6  percent), Sonoma (6  percent), and Santa Barbara (5  percent). Figure  3 reports our estimates of these fiscal effects by county.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3706

Building Reserves to Prepare for a Recession

Mar 7, 2018 - By most measures, the recession of the early 1990s was more severe than the dot ‑com bust in the early 2000s. For example, unemployment in California reached 9. 7  p ercent in mid ‑ to late ‑1992, but peaked at 6. 9  p ercent after the dot ‑com bust.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3769

The 2018-19 May Revision: LAO Economic Outlook

May 12, 2018 - The typical PE ratio since 1990 is 21 (19 if the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s and early 2000s is excluded). Similar to the price-to-earnings ratio, the home price-to-rent ratio is used to gauge if home prices are in line with underlying demand for housing.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3829

Managing California’s Cash

Sep 3, 2019 - After a period of relative calm in the mid ‑ and late ‑1990s, California faced another series of years with acute budget problems following the dot ‑com bust and ensuing recession. Although the dot ‑com bust was relatively mild in economic terms, it hit the California budget —which is particularly reliant on the Bay Area ’s technology sector —especially hard.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4092

The 2024-25 Budget: Governor's Office of Business and Economic Development

Feb 20, 2024 - We estimate the Governor ’s budget predicts the state ’s 2024-25 budget will need to address a $58 billion deficit . In December, our office predicted a somewhat large deficit of $68 billion . Since then, recent data has continued to point to the budget problem being larger than the Governor’s budget assumes.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4846

The 2025-26 California Spending Plan: Other Provisions

Oct 16, 2025 - The budget includes provisional language authorizing the Department of Finance to augment State Emergency Telephone Number Account fund expenditure authority by amounts “necessary to continue implementation of the Next Generation 9-1-1 system, including transition from the legacy 9-1-1 system, ” subject to 30-day legislative notification.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5081/

Fixing Unemployment Insurance

Dec 2, 2024 - For example, if California had entered the pandemic with equivalently sized reserves, it still would have required a federal loan, but that loan would have reached $9  billion, rather than $20  billion.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4943

How Will Aging Baby Boomers Affect Future Property Tax Revenues?

Jun 20, 2017 - California voters, however, passed Proposition  58 in 1986, which amended the California Constitution to exempt transfers between parents and children (and later grandparents and grandchildren under certain circumstances under Proposition  193 [1996]) from revaluation.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3693

California’s Low-Wage Workers and Minimum Wage

Mar 11, 2024 - To shed light on this issue, we next compare the statewide minimum wage to housing costs across California ’s 58 counties. Measuring Housing Affordability. To assess housing affordability for minimum-wage workers, we compare monthly earnings for full-time workers making the main minimum wage in each county to HUD ’s estimate of “fair market rent ” for housing in that county.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4878/3

Income Mobility in California Across Generations

Jan 4, 2017 - Compared to the country as a whole, Californians born in the top fifth of the income distribution are less likely to remain in the top two–fifths (53 percent rather than 58 percent) and more likely to end up in the bottom two–fifths (30 percent rather than 24 percent).
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3518