California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk

Jan 23, 2026 - Whereas California’s labor market has stagnated over the last two years, the S&P 500 stock index has appreciated roughly 50 percent over the same period. And most of this increase has come from skyrocketing share prices among a handful of firms associated with innovations in Artificial Intelligence (AI).
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5104

The 2026-27 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook

Nov 19, 2025 - The stock market (S &P 500) has risen 50  percent in the last two years. Most of these gains come from the meteoric rise in the value of a handful of tech companies that investors believe will be major beneficiaries of recent advances in AI.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5091

The 2024-25 Budget: Overview of the Governor's Budget

Jan 13, 2024 - The largest include: a nearly $800 million reduction to state departments’ operation budgets, proposed to be allocated through departments’ vacancy rates; about $500 million in savings to continue an existing two‑week delay in Medi‑Cal payments; a $500 million reduction to the school facilities aid program; and a $350 million reduction to legislative district projects.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4825

The 2021-22 Budget: Overview of the Spending Plan (Final Version)

Oct 27, 2021 - Most of the funding will go out as $ 600 o ne ‑time payments to taxpayers with incomes below $75,000 (taxpayers with dependents will receive an additional $ 500 p ayment). The remainder will go out as $ 500 o ne ‑time payments to taxpayers with incomes less than $75,000 who file using an Individual Taxpayer Identification Number.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4448

The 2026-27 Budget: Overview of the Governor's Budget

Jan 12, 2026 - Some of the largest spending augmentations proposed for the budget window include: (1) $76 million for utility replacement and site improvements at Exposition Park, (2) $67 million to the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection for fixed‑wing aircraft pilot and mechanics contract increases, (3) $60 million to the Department of Health Care Access and Information for a reproductive
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5101

The 2025-26 Budget: Overview of the Spending Plan

Oct 16, 2025 - The estimate of the requirement for 2024 ‑25 is up nearly $4.7  billion (4  percent) from the June 2024 level, but the budget appropriates just over $2.7  billion in additional funding for that year.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5079

The 2016-17 Budget: Initial Comments on the Governor’s May Revision

May 15, 2016 - As shown in Figures 3 and 4, the Governor maintains these priorities in the May Revision. As it crafts the state budget, the Legislature may choose its own preferred mix of reserves, one-time spending, and ongoing budget commitments using these discretionary resources.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3460

The 2021-22 Budget: Initial Comments on the Governor’s May Revision

May 17, 2021 - The largest proposals include $500  million for Golden State teacher grants and a $500  million endowment for learning-aligned employment. Reserves and Debt $11  Billion in Constitutional Reserve and Debt Requirements.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4432

The 2025-26 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook

Nov 20, 2024 - Furthermore, a single company (Nvidia) accounts for about one ‑third of the total gains in the S &P 500 stock index over the last year. Overall, without more positive signs from the broader California economy, it is difficult to be highly confident in the recent revenue recovery.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4939

The 2023-24 Budget: Overview of the Governor's Budget

Jan 13, 2023 - Figure 4
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4662