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Economy and Taxes (36)
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Building Reserves to Prepare for a Recession

Mar 7, 2018 - By most measures, the recession of the early 1990s was more severe than the dot ‑com bust in the early 2000s. For example, unemployment in California reached 9. 7  p ercent in mid ‑ to late ‑1992, but peaked at 6. 9  p ercent after the dot ‑com bust.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3769

The 2018-19 May Revision: LAO Economic Outlook

May 12, 2018 - The typical PE ratio since 1990 is 21 (19 if the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s and early 2000s is excluded). Similar to the price-to-earnings ratio, the home price-to-rent ratio is used to gauge if home prices are in line with underlying demand for housing.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3829

The 2025-26 Budget: CDTFA’s Tobacco Programs

Feb 14, 2025 - Since the flavor ban, however, revenues have declined much faster, from $1.84  billion in 2021-22 to $1.6  billion in 2022-23, then to $1.35  billion in 2023-24 (not including the new tax on electronic cigarettes).
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4966

Fixing Unemployment Insurance

Dec 2, 2024 - During the phase ‑in period, the state also entered the dot ‑com recession. These two cost pressures absorbed the remaining flexibility in the state ’s UI tax system. As  shown in Figure  4 , the state began this period in Schedule C but quickly moved to Schedule F+, the highest tax schedule, where it has remained since.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4943

The 2017-18 Budget: Governor's Gann Limit Proposal

Mar 2, 2017 - As revenues surged during the dot ‑com boom of the late 1990s, however, the state approached the limit. The state had excess revenues in 1999 ‑00, but because appropriations were under the limit in 2000 ‑01, additional Proposition  98 spending and taxpayer rebates were not required.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3596

Managing California’s Cash

Sep 3, 2019 - After a period of relative calm in the mid ‑ and late ‑1990s, California faced another series of years with acute budget problems following the dot ‑com bust and ensuing recession. Although the dot ‑com bust was relatively mild in economic terms, it hit the California budget —which is particularly reliant on the Bay Area ’s technology sector —especially hard.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4092

The 2023-24 Budget: Multiyear Budget Outlook

May 23, 2023 - Across the budget window (2021 ‑22 through 2023 ‑24), our revenue projections are $11  billion lower than the administration ’s estimates. We discuss our economic and revenue outlook in greater detail here: The 2023‑24 Budget: May Revenue Outlook .
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4772

The 2020-21 Budget: California Department of Tax and Fee Administration (CDTFA)

Mar 20, 2020 - A reduction of $1.1 million in 2020-21 and 2021-22 and $0.9 million in 2022-23 and ongoing from various funds —primarily the General Fund and reimbursements from local governments. Tobacco Tax Proposal.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4205

The 2021-22 May Revision—Overview and Analysis of Workforce Development Proposals [Publication Details]

May 18, 2021 - The 2021-22 May Revision—Overview and Analysis of Workforce Development Proposals [Publication Details] Translate Our Website This Google ™ translation feature provided on the Legislative Analyst's Office (LAO) website is for informational purposes only.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Detail/4434

Evaluation of a Tax Exemption for Zero-Emission Buses

Apr 15, 2024 - From recent one-time General Fund augmentations, CARB allocated $70  million in both 2021-22 and 2022-23 through HVIP specifically for transit agencies to procure ZEBS. Amounts available for transit agencies through HVIP depend on budget act appropriations and on funding plans developed by CARB.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4890