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Economy and Taxes (37)
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Building Reserves to Prepare for a Recession

Mar 7, 2018 - By most measures, the recession of the early 1990s was more severe than the dot ‑com bust in the early 2000s. For example, unemployment in California reached 9. 7  p ercent in mid ‑ to late ‑1992, but peaked at 6. 9  p ercent after the dot ‑com bust.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3769

The 2018-19 May Revision: LAO Economic Outlook

May 12, 2018 - The typical PE ratio since 1990 is 21 (19 if the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s and early 2000s is excluded). Similar to the price-to-earnings ratio, the home price-to-rent ratio is used to gauge if home prices are in line with underlying demand for housing.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3829

Managing California’s Cash

Sep 3, 2019 - After a period of relative calm in the mid ‑ and late ‑1990s, California faced another series of years with acute budget problems following the dot ‑com bust and ensuing recession. Although the dot ‑com bust was relatively mild in economic terms, it hit the California budget —which is particularly reliant on the Bay Area ’s technology sector —especially hard.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4092

The 2025-26 California Spending Plan: Other Provisions

Oct 16, 2025 - This includes $8.2  million ($7  million General Fund) in efficiency reductions and $2.8  million General Fund in vacant position reductions. Please see the “New and Ongoing Efforts to Achieve Efficiencies” section of this post for more information on these budget-wide reductions.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5081/

Fixing Unemployment Insurance

Dec 2, 2024 - Then, we multiply this rate by current covered employment and current average weekly benefit amounts to define a “typical benefit cost year. ” This is currently about $7  billion. Standard Rate Would Be 1.4   Percent.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4943

The 2025-26 Budget: Update on Implementation of New Firearm and Ammunition Tax

Feb 19, 2025 - These funds would be allocated to school districts based on their share of statewide enrollment in grades 7 to 12. The budget package also required school districts to certify by July 2029 that a certain portion of their staff who work directly with students in grades 7 to 12 have received youth behavioral health training at least once.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4970

Overview of Diversity Efforts in the Film Tax Credit Program

May 1, 2025 - One reason for this is that the CFC data has a 7  percent nonresponse rate and the propensity for nonresponse is not random across projects, which suggests that the true gender and ethnicity representation is different than what is reported by those who do respond.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5036

The 2017-18 Budget: Governor's Gann Limit Proposal

Mar 2, 2017 - As revenues surged during the dot ‑com boom of the late 1990s, however, the state approached the limit. The state had excess revenues in 1999 ‑00, but because appropriations were under the limit in 2000 ‑01, additional Proposition  98 spending and taxpayer rebates were not required.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3596

The 2025-26 Budget: California’s Film Tax Credit

Feb 28, 2025 - Figure  7 shows the types of productions that were awarded tax credits. The most notable change is an increase in the share of credits awarded to non ‑relocating TV shows from 51  percent in the first decade of the program to 59  percent in the credits most recent iteration starting in 2020, with a corresponding decrease in credit allocations for feature films.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5000