Building Reserves to Prepare for a Recession

Mar 7, 2018 - By most measures, the recession of the early 1990s was more severe than the dot ‑com bust in the early 2000s. For example, unemployment in California reached 9. 7  p ercent in mid ‑ to late ‑1992, but peaked at 6. 9  p ercent after the dot ‑com bust.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3769

The 2026-27 Budget: State Mandate—Disclosure Requirements and Deferral of Property Taxation

Feb 19, 2026 - The California Constitution requires the state to reimburse local governments when (1)  new state laws or regulations mandate that they implement a new program or higher level of service and (2)  the local government does not have offsetting revenues available to fully cover the associated costs.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5130

The 2026-27 Budget: California Competes Extension

Mar 18, 2026 - Figure  1 shows the value of credits claimed each year since the program ’s inception in 2014. Because applicants must provide sufficient evidence that the credit will influence their employment and investment decisions in the state, GO-Biz often does not award all tax credits available to be allocated in a given fiscal year.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5162

The 2026-27 Budget: CDTFA’s Cannabis and Tobacco Programs

Feb 23, 2026 - Assembly Bill  573 requires our office to publish a report on tobacco retail enforcement by December 1, 2027. If this could lead to budget adjustments, the Legislature may wish to schedule some of the proposed funding to expire after 2027 ‑28.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5132

The 2018-19 May Revision: LAO Economic Outlook

May 12, 2018 - The typical PE ratio since 1990 is 21 (19 if the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s and early 2000s is excluded). Similar to the price-to-earnings ratio, the home price-to-rent ratio is used to gauge if home prices are in line with underlying demand for housing.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3829

The 2025-26 California Spending Plan: Other Provisions

Oct 16, 2025 - However, the language prohibits augmentations that would require an increase in the monthly 9-1-1 surcharge rate. The language also requires OES to provide the Legislature with two progress reports on the project —which has faced significant implementation challenges —on or before November 1, 2025 and March  1, 2026.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5081/

Local Sales Tax Rebates in 2023-24

Sep 16, 2025 - One-sixth paid less than $1 per resident. Another two-thirds paid $1 to $20 per resident. One-eighth paid $20 to $80 per resident. A small but nontrivial portion —1.7  percent —paid more than $120 per resident.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5074

Overview of Major Impacts of H.R. 1 – One Big Beautiful Bill Act [Publication Details]

Aug 20, 2025 - Overview of Major Impacts of H.R. 1 – One Big Beautiful Bill Act [Publication Details] Translate Our Website This Google ™ translation feature provided on the Legislative Analyst's Office (LAO) website is for informational purposes only.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Detail/5067

Updating the California Necessities Index

Aug 14, 2025 - As shown in Figure  1, on average, these measures (options A, B, and C) are about 0.2  percentage points different from the current CNI. Further, large differences (more than 0.5  percentage points) are rare.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5065

Fixing Unemployment Insurance

Dec 2, 2024 - During the phase ‑in period, the state also entered the dot ‑com recession. These two cost pressures absorbed the remaining flexibility in the state ’s UI tax system. As  shown in Figure  4 , the state began this period in Schedule C but quickly moved to Schedule F+, the highest tax schedule, where it has remained since.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4943