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Economy and Taxes (14)
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The 2022-23 Budget: Supply Chain and Port Infrastructure Proposals

Feb 15, 2022 - Short ‑Term vs. Long ‑Term Strategies. The  current supply chain disruptions are the result of both short ‑term issues, such as greater consumer demand, as well as long ‑term issues, such as the capacity and resilience of the goods movement system.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4540

Statewide Minimum Wage Increasing in January

Dec 6, 2016 - Some Local Governments Will Have Higher Minimum Wages on January 1st … The initial increase to $10.50 per hour will affect workers in most parts of the state. In some places, however, local governments have already raised their minimum wages above $10.50 per hour.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3512

The Property Tax Inheritance Exclusion

Oct 9, 2017 - Apply Means Testing. Another option is to require means testing to determine eligibility for the exclusion. The Legislature could set an income threshold under which a child ’s income would have to fall to be eligible for the inheritance exclusion.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3706

The 2022-23 Budget: Fuel Tax Rates

Feb 11, 2022 - Consequently, we advise the Legislature to treat July  1st fuel tax changes as an “early action ” item to resolve in advance of the main budget package. Slightly Lower Prices at the Pump. Available  evidence suggests that lower excise taxes likely would result in lower retail prices.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4528

Evaluation of a Tax Exemption for Zero-Emission Buses

Apr 15, 2024 - Innovative Clean Transit (ICT) Regulation Conventional Buses vs. ZEBs. The ZEB exemption, the ICT regulation, and various other policies make a distinction between conventional buses and ZEBs. Conventional buses burn diesel, compressed natural gas, or other fuels that emit greenhouse gases (GHGs) and other air pollutants.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4890

Taxation of Sugary Drinks

Nov 26, 2018 - Key Trade ‑Off: Main Policy Goal vs. Other Health Effects. The potential exclusion of 100  p ercent juice illustrates a general trade ‑off in the design of sugary drink taxes. Some sugary drinks contain beneficial nutrients.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3903

California’s Low-Wage Workers and Minimum Wage

Mar 11, 2024 - We assess the pseudo-out-of-sample prediction errors for each specification using the monthly CPS from January to December 2022 as our training set and the monthly CPS from January to December 2023 as our test set.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4878/4

Building Reserves to Prepare for a Recession

Mar 7, 2018 - Under the second statute, the trigger would occur if ( 1) t he “General Fund reserve ” exceeds about 3  p ercent of revenues (currently, around $ 4  b illion) and ( 2) a ctual General Fund revenues between May 1st and September 30th exceed the administration ’s forecasted amounts.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3769

The 2024-25 Budget: Governor's Office of Business and Economic Development

Feb 20, 2024 - Testing an expansion of the traditional California Competes model may have been reasonable a few years ago when the state was flush with resources. In today’s environment, however, it is not prudent.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4846

The 2025-26 Budget: California’s Film Tax Credit

Feb 28, 2025 - Finally, California and New York ’s programs tend to stand out as having the most additional requirements such as diversity and workforce development plans, although the tax credit programs outside the U.S. that we analyzed do have cultural tests relating primarily to hiring a certain number of local crewmembers and/or executives.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5000