Building Reserves to Prepare for a Recession

Mar 7, 2018 - These required deposits were to gradually increase from 1  p ercent of General Fund revenues in 2006 ‑ 07 t o 3  p ercent in 2008 ‑09 and every year thereafter. Proposition  58 allowed these deposits to be suspended by an executive order issued by the Governor.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3769

California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk

Jan 23, 2026 - The current discrepancy over the size of the state ’s budget deficit —$18  billion under the Legislative Analyst ’s Office estimate versus $3  billion in the Governor ’s budget —fits squarely within that pattern.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5104

The 2026-27 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook

Nov 19, 2025 - Figure 3 General Fund Condition Under Fiscal Outlook (In Millions)
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5091

The 2024-25 Budget: Deficit Update

Feb 20, 2024 - Roughly, a $24 billion erosion in revenues corresponds to a $15 billion increase in the budget problem. This would expand the $58 billion estimated deficit to $73 billion under our updated revenue forecast.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4850

Evolution of the Balance of the Budget Stabilization Account

Nov 14, 2018 - Proposition  58 required BSA deposits to increase from 1  percent of General Fund revenues in 2006 ‑07 to 3  percent in 2008 ‑09 and every year thereafter. Proposition  58 Required Deposits Until BSA Reached Certain Size.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3900

The 2024-25 Budget: Overview of the Governor's Budget

Jan 13, 2024 - We Estimate the Administration Solved a Larger Budget Problem —$58   Billion. While the Governor cited a budget problem of $38  billion, we estimate the administration solved a budget problem of $58  billion.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4825

Whether or Not to Tap Reserves to Solve Estimated Budget Problem Emerges as Key Fiscal Decision Facing California’s Legislature

Apr 19, 2023 - Other downturns, such as the 2001 so-called dot-com recession, had severe fiscal implications while inflicting somewhat milder economic damage. The 2008 Great Recession had brutal effects on both the state ’s economy and budget.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4762

The 2023-24 Budget: Overview of the Spending Plan (Final Version)

Oct 16, 2023 - It also includes Chapter  58 of 2023 (S B  146 , Gonzalez), which authorizes the use of two project delivery methods —progressive design ‑build and job order contracting —under certain circumstances.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4788

The 2023-24 Budget: Multiyear Assessment

Feb 15, 2023 - For example, even after adjusting for inflation, anticipated revenues for 2023‑24 remain about 20 percent higher than before the pandemic. Moreover, the Governor’s proposed spending level—as a share of the economy shown in Figure 3—remains above peaks from the early and mid‑2000s.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4687

The 2023-24 California Spending Plan: Other Provisions

Nov 8, 2023 - Figure 3
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4814