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Economy and Taxes (50)
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Building Reserves to Prepare for a Recession

Mar 7, 2018 - By most measures, the recession of the early 1990s was more severe than the dot ‑com bust in the early 2000s. For example, unemployment in California reached 9. 7  p ercent in mid ‑ to late ‑1992, but peaked at 6. 9  p ercent after the dot ‑com bust.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3769

The 2018-19 May Revision: LAO Economic Outlook

May 12, 2018 - The typical PE ratio since 1990 is 21 (19 if the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s and early 2000s is excluded). Similar to the price-to-earnings ratio, the home price-to-rent ratio is used to gauge if home prices are in line with underlying demand for housing.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3829

The 2026-27 Budget: State Mandate—Disclosure Requirements and Deferral of Property Taxation

Feb 19, 2026 - Property owners seeking tax relief under Proposition  19 must file a claim with the county in which the new (replacement) residence is located. After Proposition  19 went into effect, a backlog of claims developed, and some tax bills were sent to property owners that had not been updated to reflect the lower amounts they were entitled to pay under the terms of Proposition  19.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5130

Managing California’s Cash

Sep 3, 2019 - After a period of relative calm in the mid ‑ and late ‑1990s, California faced another series of years with acute budget problems following the dot ‑com bust and ensuing recession. Although the dot ‑com bust was relatively mild in economic terms, it hit the California budget —which is particularly reliant on the Bay Area ’s technology sector —especially hard.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4092

Sales Tax Exemption for Bunker Fuel

Nov 19, 2025 - Sales Tax Exemption for Bunker Fuel November 19, 2025 Sales Tax Exemption for Bunker Fuel Statutory Data Reporting Requirement. Chapter  442 of 2023 (AB  543, Gipson) extended a longstanding sales tax exemption for certain purchases of bunker fuel, also known as maritime fuel.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5094

The 2022-23 Budget: Federal Tax Conformity for Federal Business Assistance

Jan 26, 2022 - Background Federal Assistance for Businesses Affected by COVID ‑19. The federal government created several financial assistance programs to mitigate some of the economic impacts of the COVID‑19 pandemic on small businesses.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4501

The 2025-26 Budget: California’s Film Tax Credit

Feb 28, 2025 - Two notable events account for the volatility seen in Figure  3, namely COVID ‑19 and the 2023 SAG ‑AFTRA and Writer ’s Guild of America strikes, which coincide with the sharp decreases observed in 2020 and 2023 respectively.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5000

The 2025-26 Budget: CDTFA’s Tobacco Programs

Feb 14, 2025 - In 2018-19, the tax program had 75.6 filled positions, and the licensing program had 64.3 filled positions. In 2023-24, these programs had 53.2 and 41.9 filled positions, respectively. CDTFA has provided two explanations for this decline.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4966

The 2018-19 Budget: California Hiring Tax Credits

Mar 15, 2018 - The 2018-19 Budget: California Hiring Tax Credits State ’s Economic Development Programs Overhauled in 2013. California comprehensively overhauled its economic development incentive programs in 2013 b y replacing the “Enterprise Zone ” programs with three new tax provisions: Manufacturer ’s Sales Tax Exemption.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3784

Fixing Unemployment Insurance

Dec 2, 2024 - During the phase ‑in period, the state also entered the dot ‑com recession. These two cost pressures absorbed the remaining flexibility in the state ’s UI tax system. As  shown in Figure  4 , the state began this period in Schedule C but quickly moved to Schedule F+, the highest tax schedule, where it has remained since.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4943