Building Reserves to Prepare for a Recession

Mar 7, 2018 - By most measures, the recession of the early 1990s was more severe than the dot ‑com bust in the early 2000s. For example, unemployment in California reached 9. 7  p ercent in mid ‑ to late ‑1992, but peaked at 6. 9  p ercent after the dot ‑com bust.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3769

Managing California’s Cash

Sep 3, 2019 - The early 1990s were marked by a series of sales of RANs and RAWs —at the time, the largest such sales in the state ’s history (see Figure  5). Second Cash Crunch in Early 2000s. After a period of relative calm in the mid ‑ and late ‑1990s, California faced another series of years with acute budget problems following the dot ‑com bust and ensuing recession.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4092

The 2018-19 May Revision: LAO Economic Outlook

May 12, 2018 - The typical PE ratio since 1990 is 21 (19 if the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s and early 2000s is excluded). Similar to the price-to-earnings ratio, the home price-to-rent ratio is used to gauge if home prices are in line with underlying demand for housing.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3829

Fixing Unemployment Insurance

Dec 2, 2024 - During the phase ‑in period, the state also entered the dot ‑com recession. These two cost pressures absorbed the remaining flexibility in the state ’s UI tax system. As  shown in Figure  4 , the state began this period in Schedule C but quickly moved to Schedule F+, the highest tax schedule, where it has remained since.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4943

The 2026-27 Budget: California Competes Extension

Mar 18, 2026 - Figure  5 shows both the total value of awards made and the amount recaptured for each year of the program. For awards made between 2014 and 2020, the recapture rate is almost 55  percent. This indicates that around half of the net job increases and investments promised in negotiated agreements ultimately never come to fruition or are not maintained long term.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5162

Overview of Efforts to Modernize EDD’s Benefit Systems [Publication Details]

Feb 24, 2026 - Assembly Budget Subcommittee No. 5 on State Administration
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Detail/5135

The 2026-27 Budget: CDTFA’s Cannabis and Tobacco Programs

Feb 23, 2026 - The administration could have avoided imposing these costs on the General Fund by adjusting CDTFA ’s appropriation from the Cannabis Tax Fund, but it has not yet done so. Using Resources Efficiently.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5132

The 2023-24 Budget: California's Film Tax Credit

Feb 28, 2023 - Base: 20% of qualified spending, plus additional: Base: 20% of qualified spending, plus additional: Independent films: 25% 5% of spending outside LA 5% of visual effects 5% to 10% of spending outside LA (up to 30% total) 5% of visual effects Independent films and relocating television: 25% Independent films and relocating television: 25% Other Requirements Complete “career readiness ” requirement.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4713

Taxation of Sugary Drinks

Nov 26, 2018 - Example: First 5 California. First 5 California —which funds services for children under 5 years old —receives the vast majority of its funding from tobacco taxes. As shown in the top panel of Figure  6 , the number of births in California —the main factor determining the number of children served by First 5 —has remained roughly constant over time.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3903

The 2025-26 Budget: California’s Film Tax Credit

Feb 28, 2025 - In contrast, filming activity following the strikes has shown no signs of recovering so far, with shoot days slightly declining further in 2024. Figure  5 shows the differing effects of these two events by comparing the total percent change in employment levels for California and the U.S. since 2019.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5000