Building Reserves to Prepare for a Recession

Mar 7, 2018 - By most measures, the recession of the early 1990s was more severe than the dot ‑com bust in the early 2000s. For example, unemployment in California reached 9. 7  p ercent in mid ‑ to late ‑1992, but peaked at 6. 9  p ercent after the dot ‑com bust.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3769

Managing California’s Cash

Sep 3, 2019 - The early 1990s were marked by a series of sales of RANs and RAWs —at the time, the largest such sales in the state ’s history (see Figure  5). Second Cash Crunch in Early 2000s. After a period of relative calm in the mid ‑ and late ‑1990s, California faced another series of years with acute budget problems following the dot ‑com bust and ensuing recession.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4092

The 2018-19 May Revision: LAO Economic Outlook

May 12, 2018 - The typical PE ratio since 1990 is 21 (19 if the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s and early 2000s is excluded). Similar to the price-to-earnings ratio, the home price-to-rent ratio is used to gauge if home prices are in line with underlying demand for housing.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3829

Overview of Efforts to Modernize EDD’s Benefit Systems [Publication Details]

Feb 24, 2026 - Assembly Budget Subcommittee No. 5 on State Administration
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Detail/5135

The 2025-26 California Spending Plan: Other Provisions

Oct 16, 2025 - The budget provides $7  million in ongoing General Fund for ICAC program grants. Funding for the program, which had typically been $5  million annually, was set to expire at the end of 2024-25. These funds provide support to five regional law enforcement task forces that focus on the investigation of cybercrimes that target minors.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5081

Fixing Unemployment Insurance

Dec 2, 2024 - Then, we multiply this rate by current covered employment and current average weekly benefit amounts to define a “typical benefit cost year. ” This is currently about $7  billion. Standard Rate Would Be 1.4   Percent.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4943

Overview of Major Impacts of H.R. 1 – One Big Beautiful Bill Act [Publication Details]

Aug 20, 2025 - Assembly Budget Subcommittee No. 7 on Accountability and Oversight
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Detail/5067

The 2026-27 Budget: California Competes Extension

Mar 18, 2026 - Figure  5 shows both the total value of awards made and the amount recaptured for each year of the program. For awards made between 2014 and 2020, the recapture rate is almost 55  percent. This indicates that around half of the net job increases and investments promised in negotiated agreements ultimately never come to fruition or are not maintained long term.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5162

The 2025-26 Budget: Update on Implementation of New Firearm and Ammunition Tax

Feb 19, 2025 - These funds would be allocated to school districts based on their share of statewide enrollment in grades 7 to 12. The budget package also required school districts to certify by July 2029 that a certain portion of their staff who work directly with students in grades 7 to 12 have received youth behavioral health training at least once.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4970

Local Sales Tax Rebates in 2023-24

Sep 16, 2025 - In nine counties, rebates exceeded $5 per resident. In seven others, rebates ranged from $1 to $5 per resident. At the other end of the spectrum, in many counties —mostly less populous counties outside of the state ’s major metropolitan areas —no jurisdictions paid any rebates in 2023-24.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5074