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Economy and Taxes (11)
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Building Reserves to Prepare for a Recession

Mar 7, 2018 - By most measures, the recession of the early 1990s was more severe than the dot ‑com bust in the early 2000s. For example, unemployment in California reached 9. 7  p ercent in mid ‑ to late ‑1992, but peaked at 6. 9  p ercent after the dot ‑com bust.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3769

The 2018-19 May Revision: LAO Economic Outlook

May 12, 2018 - The typical PE ratio since 1990 is 21 (19 if the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s and early 2000s is excluded). Similar to the price-to-earnings ratio, the home price-to-rent ratio is used to gauge if home prices are in line with underlying demand for housing.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3829

Managing California’s Cash

Sep 3, 2019 - After a period of relative calm in the mid ‑ and late ‑1990s, California faced another series of years with acute budget problems following the dot ‑com bust and ensuing recession. Although the dot ‑com bust was relatively mild in economic terms, it hit the California budget —which is particularly reliant on the Bay Area ’s technology sector —especially hard.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4092

The 2024-25 Budget: Governor's Office of Business and Economic Development

Feb 20, 2024 - Around one-third of California Competes grants across 2022-23 ($30  million) and 2023-24 ($51  million) went to semiconductor companies. However, given the state ’s current fiscal situation, it makes sense for the state to look to other existing programs to provide incentives to CHIPS Act projects.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4846

The 2025-26 Budget: California’s Film Tax Credit

Feb 28, 2025 - The most notable change is an increase in the share of credits awarded to non ‑relocating TV shows from 51  percent in the first decade of the program to 59  percent in the credits most recent iteration starting in 2020, with a corresponding decrease in credit allocations for feature films.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5000

California’s Low-Wage Workers and Minimum Wage

Mar 11, 2024 - What We Know About Earnings Nonresponse 30 Years After Lillard, Smith, and Welch. ” Journal of Political Economy 127(51). Dutz, Denis, Ingrid Huitfeldt, Santiago Lacouture, Magne Mogstad, Alexander Torgovitsky, and Winnie van Dijk (2022).
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4878/4

Evaluation of the Property Tax Postponement Program

Oct 8, 2018 - For example, those ages 42 t o 51 with incomes between $35,000 and $45,000 spend about 6  p ercent of their income on property taxes, a higher percentage than those ages 72 and above at any income range displayed.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3885

Fixing Unemployment Insurance

Dec 2, 2024 - During the phase ‑in period, the state also entered the dot ‑com recession. These two cost pressures absorbed the remaining flexibility in the state ’s UI tax system. As  shown in Figure  4 , the state began this period in Schedule C but quickly moved to Schedule F+, the highest tax schedule, where it has remained since.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4943

The 2017-18 Budget: Governor's Gann Limit Proposal

Mar 2, 2017 - As revenues surged during the dot ‑com boom of the late 1990s, however, the state approached the limit. The state had excess revenues in 1999 ‑00, but because appropriations were under the limit in 2000 ‑01, additional Proposition  98 spending and taxpayer rebates were not required.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3596

The 2023-24 Budget: California's Film Tax Credit

Feb 28, 2023 - Tax and economic development lessons from state motion picture incentive programs. ” The American Review of Public Administration 48.1 (2018): 33 ‑51. Thom, Michael. “Time to yell “cut? ” An evaluation of the California Film and Production Tax Credit for the motion picture industry. ” California Journal of Politics and Policy 10.1 (2018).
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4713