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Economy and Taxes (87)
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Long-term Capacity for Debt Payments Under Proposition 2

Dec 21, 2017 - Provisions of Proposition  2 Key Provisions of Proposition  2. Proposition  2 requires the state to make: (1) minimum annual payments toward certain eligible debts (until 2029 ‑30) and (2) deposits into the state ’s rainy day fund.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3727

Building Reserves to Prepare for a Recession

Mar 7, 2018 - By most measures, the recession of the early 1990s was more severe than the dot ‑com bust in the early 2000s. For example, unemployment in California reached 9. 7  p ercent in mid ‑ to late ‑1992, but peaked at 6. 9  p ercent after the dot ‑com bust.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3769

The 2018-19 May Revision: LAO Economic Outlook

May 12, 2018 - Figure 2 LAO May 2018 Economic Growth Scenario a Percent Change Unless Otherwise Indicated 2017
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3829

The 2025-26 California Spending Plan: Other Provisions

Oct 16, 2025 - The budget provides $5  million in one-time General Fund for California Volunteers to offer grants to AmeriCorps programs to fund coaches at K-12 schools. This program has received limited-term funding in prior years, including $5  million in 2024-25.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5081

The 2017-18 Budget: Governor's Gann Limit Proposal

Mar 2, 2017 - Step 2 of Figure  3 shows the process used in determining appropriations subject to the SAL. The first step is to determine revenues from proceeds of taxes. (Schedules 12B and 12  C in the Appendix of The 2017 ‑18 Governor ’s Budget Summary lists the revenues currently excluded from the SAL.)
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3596

The 2026-27 Budget: California Competes Extension

Mar 18, 2026 - All three of these changes could have contributed to the trend shown in Figure  2 if (1)  The 25  percent rule was favoring smaller businesses above better-qualified applicants from larger firms, (2)  larger businesses provide better evidence on how the credit affects their decision-making, and (3)  larger firms are more likely to have, or participate in, job training programs.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5162

Managing California’s Cash

Sep 3, 2019 - After a period of relative calm in the mid ‑ and late ‑1990s, California faced another series of years with acute budget problems following the dot ‑com bust and ensuing recession. Although the dot ‑com bust was relatively mild in economic terms, it hit the California budget —which is particularly reliant on the Bay Area ’s technology sector —especially hard.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4092

The 2026-27 Budget: State Mandate—Disclosure Requirements and Deferral of Property Taxation

Feb 19, 2026 - The California Constitution requires the state to reimburse local governments when (1)  new state laws or regulations mandate that they implement a new program or higher level of service and (2)  the local government does not have offsetting revenues available to fully cover the associated costs.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5130

Fixing Unemployment Insurance

Dec 2, 2024 - Figure  12 shows how the state ’s current taxable wage base and our recommendation compare to other states. If the state raised the maximum weekly benefit amount, the corresponding taxable wage base would also need to increase.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4943

The 2025-26 Budget: CDTFA’s Tobacco Programs

Feb 14, 2025 - The Cigarette and Tobacco Products Compliance Fund had a $2  million surplus in 2023-24 and entered 2024-25 with a $12  million balance. In principle, these resources, together with the proposed augmentation, should cover the cost of implementing these laws without any need to redirect resources away from other aspects of the licensing program.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4966