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Economy and Taxes (15)
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Building Reserves to Prepare for a Recession

Mar 7, 2018 - By most measures, the recession of the early 1990s was more severe than the dot ‑com bust in the early 2000s. For example, unemployment in California reached 9. 7  p ercent in mid ‑ to late ‑1992, but peaked at 6. 9  p ercent after the dot ‑com bust.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3769

The 2018-19 May Revision: LAO Economic Outlook

May 12, 2018 - The typical PE ratio since 1990 is 21 (19 if the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s and early 2000s is excluded). Similar to the price-to-earnings ratio, the home price-to-rent ratio is used to gauge if home prices are in line with underlying demand for housing.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3829

The 2025-26 California Spending Plan: Other Provisions

Oct 16, 2025 - The 2025-26 California Spending Plan: Other Provisions 90 $6,314.1 For a variety of reasons, we do not reflect certain capital outlay projects in the figure or linked table. Specifically, to avoid double counting previously provided funds or because specific data are not available, we do not include projects for which funding is: (1)  continuously appropriated, such as some bond
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5081/

The 2025-26 Budget: California’s Film Tax Credit

Feb 28, 2025 - Taxpayers may only elect to make 90  percent of their total credit allocation refundable, and the use of such credits must be spread across the five taxable years beginning with the year of election.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5000

Managing California’s Cash

Sep 3, 2019 - After a period of relative calm in the mid ‑ and late ‑1990s, California faced another series of years with acute budget problems following the dot ‑com bust and ensuing recession. Although the dot ‑com bust was relatively mild in economic terms, it hit the California budget —which is particularly reliant on the Bay Area ’s technology sector —especially hard.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4092

The 2022-23 Budget: Fuel Tax Rates

Feb 11, 2022 - For smooth implementation, the Department of Tax and Fee Administration (CDTFA) generally advises state and local lawmakers to enact sales and excise tax rate changes at least 90 days before they go into effect.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4528

Fixing Unemployment Insurance

Dec 2, 2024 - During the phase ‑in period, the state also entered the dot ‑com recession. These two cost pressures absorbed the remaining flexibility in the state ’s UI tax system. As  shown in Figure  4 , the state began this period in Schedule C but quickly moved to Schedule F+, the highest tax schedule, where it has remained since.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4943

The 2022-23 Budget: Fuel Price and Other Fiscal Relief Options

May 12, 2022 - In particular, fuel tax reductions would need to be enacted 60 to 90 days before they could go into effect. What Are the Key Fiscal and Policy Trade ‑Offs? In prioritizing relief, the Legislature will also need to balance this against its other budget and policy aims.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4597

The 2023-24 Budget: California's Film Tax Credit

Feb 28, 2023 - Specifically, a taxpayer may receive a refund equal to the lesser of: (1)  18  percent of the credit or (2)  90  percent of the portion of the credit exceeding their tax liability. A taxpayer electing to receive such a refund would forfeit a portion of their credit equal to the lesser of: (1)  2  percent of the credit or (2)  10  percent of the portion of the credit exceeding their tax liability.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4713

The 2017-18 Budget: Governor's Gann Limit Proposal

Mar 2, 2017 - As revenues surged during the dot ‑com boom of the late 1990s, however, the state approached the limit. The state had excess revenues in 1999 ‑00, but because appropriations were under the limit in 2000 ‑01, additional Proposition  98 spending and taxpayer rebates were not required.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3596