California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk

Jan 23, 2026 - After the dot-com bust and the Great Recession, it took four and five years, respectively, for revenues to recover. Incorporating revenue risk into the budget now, therefore, reflects prudence, not pessimism.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5104

Building Reserves to Prepare for a Recession

Mar 7, 2018 - By most measures, the recession of the early 1990s was more severe than the dot ‑com bust in the early 2000s. For example, unemployment in California reached 9. 7  p ercent in mid ‑ to late ‑1992, but peaked at 6. 9  p ercent after the dot ‑com bust.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3769

The 2026-27 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook

Nov 19, 2025 - For California, the dot ‑com era —when stocks rose and then fell precipitously in response to widespread adoption of the internet —offers the most salient example. The internet has proven to be a transformative technology and, yet, the stock market ’s initial reaction was clearly overly exuberant.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5091

The 2019-20 Budget: California Spending Plan—Debt Liabilities

Oct 17, 2019 - Chapter  33 of 2019 (SB  90, Committee on Budget and Fiscal Review) appropriates a General Fund supplemental payment to CalPERS in 2018 ‑19 ($2.5  billion), 2020 ‑21 ($265  million), 2021 ‑22 ($200  million), and 2022 ‑23 ($35  million).
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4106

The 2018-19 May Revision: LAO Economic Outlook

May 12, 2018 - The typical PE ratio since 1990 is 21 (19 if the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s and early 2000s is excluded). Similar to the price-to-earnings ratio, the home price-to-rent ratio is used to gauge if home prices are in line with underlying demand for housing.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3829

Whether or Not to Tap Reserves to Solve Estimated Budget Problem Emerges as Key Fiscal Decision Facing California’s Legislature

Apr 19, 2023 - Other downturns, such as the 2001 so-called dot-com recession, had severe fiscal implications while inflicting somewhat milder economic damage. The 2008 Great Recession had brutal effects on both the state ’s economy and budget.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4762

The 2018-19 Budget: California Spending Plan (Final Version)

Oct 2, 2018 - First, the budget plan includes $ 90  m illion General Fund in 2018 ‑ 19 t o support a 10  p ercent across ‑the ‑board increase to CalWORKs maximum grant levels, beginning April  1, 2019. (As a result, the 2018 ‑ 19 c ost of this change is $ 90  m illion, but the administration anticipates the full ‑year, ongoing cost will be $ 360  m illion.)
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3870/1

The 2020-21 Budget: Overview of the California Spending Plan (Final Version)

Oct 5, 2020 - As a condition of receiving the funding, counties must show that they are in com pliance with state and federal public health requirements. Budget Provides $600   Million for Project Homekey and Related Services.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4263

The 2024-25 Budget: Initial Comments on the Governor’s May Revision

May 17, 2024 - Spending-related solutions (including both school and community college spending and other spending) total $48  billion and represent nearly 90  percent of the total solutions. Spending-related solutions include reductions, fund shifts, delays, and reversions.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4902

The 2018-19 Budget: California Spending Plan (Final Version)

Oct 2, 2018 - The budget dedicates $ 90  m illion in 2018 ‑ 19 t o increase these grants beginning in April 2019, but the full ‑year cost of these increases is $ 360  m illion. The budget also dedicates about $ 348  m illion to the universities on an ongoing basis and $ 139  m illion to increase salaries for correctional officers.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3870