Results from the past 5 years


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Fixing Unemployment Insurance

Dec 2, 2024 - Redesign Employer Tax Rates Recommend Redesigned Employer Tax Rates. We recommend the state adopt a simple, robust UI tax structure composed of a standard tax rate and a reserve ‑building tax rate. In  this section, we describe the two tax rates, how they work together, and present the tax rates that would go into effect should these recommendations be adopted.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4943

CalFacts 2024 [Publication Details]

Dec 2, 2024 - CalFacts presents a wide range of facts and trends about the state's economy, finances, and programs.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Detail/4942

Update: Tech Company Equity Pay Driving Withholding in 2024 [EconTax Blog]

Nov 20, 2024 - With Stock Price Run-Up, Equity Pay Now An Even Larger Contributor to Income Tax Withholding.   As California 's tech companies have grown in size and value, equity pay withholding has increased as a share of total income tax receipts.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/815

Update: Tech Company Equity Pay Driving Withholding in 2024 [EconTax Blog]

Nov 20, 2024 - With Stock Price Run-Up, Equity Pay Now An Even Larger Contributor to Income Tax Withholding.   As California 's tech companies have grown in size and value, equity pay withholding has increased as a share of total income tax receipts.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/815

The 2025-26 Budget: Medi-Cal Fiscal Outlook

Nov 20, 2024 - Caseload surged during the pandemic when the state had temporarily suspended redetermining eligibility for enrollees and has begun to decline as counties have resumed conducting eligibility redeterminations.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4941

The 2025-26 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook

Nov 20, 2024 - Income tax collections have seen a similar bounce. This recovery in income tax revenues is being driven by the recent stock market rally, which calls into question its sustainability in the absence of improvements to the state ’s broader economy.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4939

The 2025‑26 Budget: Fiscal Outlook for Schools and Community Colleges

Nov 20, 2024 - Regarding local property tax revenue, our estimates are up $789   million relative to the June 2024 estimates. This increase reflects recent data showing an uptick in home sales, which generate additional property tax revenue as properties are reassessed at market value.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4940

U.S. Retail Sales Update: October 2024 [EconTax Blog]

Nov 15, 2024 - U.S. retail sales have grown 1.1 percent over the last 3 months and 2.8 percent over the last 12 months. Retail sales growth has outpaced inflation substantially over the last 3 months, but only slightly over the last 12 months.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/816

U.S. Retail Sales Update: October 2024 [EconTax Blog]

Nov 15, 2024 - U.S. retail sales have grown 1.1 percent over the last 3 months and 2.8 percent over the last 12 months. Retail sales growth has outpaced inflation substantially over the last 3 months, but only slightly over the last 12 months.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/816

UC Merced at 20: Campus Developments and Key State-Level Takeaways

Nov 7, 2024 - Similarly, the state might have sought to increase economic outcomes in the San Joaquin Valley through other means, such as providing businesses with tax credits for hiring workers in the region who face certain economic disadvantages or funding a geographically targeted expansion of the California Competes program.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4937