The 2020-21 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook

Nov 20, 2019 - Importantly, this scenario assumes the federal government approves the managed care organization (MCO) tax and the state faces no major disasters over the next few years. (The MCO tax offsets General Fund costs in Medi ‑Cal but it requires federal approval.)
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4111

COVID-19 and California’s Evolving Fiscal Outlook

Mar 18, 2020 - Volatile Financial Markets Indicate Lower Capital Gains-Related Tax Revenue Taxes on capital gains are a significant source of state revenue. Even in “normal ” times, capital gains income is difficult to forecast because it correlates with stock market performance.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4203

Amid Good Fiscal Times, Planning for the Future Is Crucial

May 21, 2019 - The most immediate effect of IPOs on state tax revenues is in the personal income tax from wage withholding —in particular, from the newly public companies ’ vesting of their restricted stock units. Proposition  2, which establishes rules for mandatory reserve deposits, includes a provision that captures surging capital gains-related tax revenues.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4051

The 2021-22 Budget: Initial Comments on the Governor’s May Revision

May 17, 2021 - CAC = California Arts Council; CalVet = California Department of Veterans Affairs; CDE = California Department of Education; CDFA = California Department of Food and Agriculture; CDI = California Department of Insurance; CDT = California Department of Technology; SOC = Security Operations Center; IT = information technology; CMD = California Military Department; CPUC = California Public Utilities
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4432/6

The 2020-21 Budget: Overview of the Governor's Budget

Jan 13, 2020 - Recently, corporation tax collections have grown faster than anticipated while personal income tax collections have grown somewhat slower. The administration assumes that this pattern will continue. This is because they attribute the pattern to partnerships, which are taxed under the personal income tax, changing to corporations in response to 2017 federal tax changes.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4135

The Definition of Qualified Capital Outlay for the State Appropriations Limit

Feb 18, 2022 - Appropriations subject to the limit are calculated by taking proceeds of taxes and reducing them by excluded spending. Statutory Definition of Qualified Capital Outlay. One important SAL exclusion is qualified capital outlay.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4547

The 2021-22 Budget: The Governor’s Proposition 2 Proposals

Apr 26, 2021 - Under Proposition  2, the state must continue to deposit funds into the BSA until it reaches a threshold balance of 10  percent of General Fund tax revenue. Once the BSA reaches this threshold, required deposits that would bring the fund above 10  percent of General Fund taxes instead must be spent on infrastructure.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4418

An Extraordinary Moment in California's Fiscal History

Apr 11, 2019 - In another example, the Governor proposes expanding the California Earned Income Tax Credit (CalEITC) program. The administration would pay for CalEITC with the additional revenue that would result from conforming the state tax code to various federal tax code provisions.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4003

The 2021-22 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook [Publication Details]

Nov 18, 2020 - In addition to The 2021-22 Budget: California’s Fiscal Outlook report and the accompanying The 2021-22 Budget: The Fiscal Outlook for Schools and Community Colleges report, several related posts on health and human services, economics and taxes, and other issues will be published in the coming days.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Detail/4297

The 2022-23 Budget: Fiscal Outlook for Schools and Community Colleges

Nov 17, 2021 - The Legislature can respond to excess revenues by (1)  lowering tax revenues, (2) splitting the excess between taxpayer rebates and one ‑time payments to school and community college districts, or (3) appropriating more money for purposes excluded from the limit.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4473