The Definition of Qualified Capital Outlay for the State Appropriations Limit

Feb 18, 2022 - There are also some properties that appear to meet the de finition, although perhaps less clearly, like information technology projects. Does the State Need to Own the Asset to Count It as an Exclusion?
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4547

The 2024-25 Budget: Initial Comments on the Governor’s May Revision

May 17, 2024 - For example, two major proposals raise concerns for our office: the suspension of net operating loss (NOL) de ductions and unallocated state operations reductions. Finally, given that our revenue forecast is somewhat below the administration ’s forecast, we would suggest the Legislature consider whether or not it is comfortable with this downside risk to the state ’s budget picture.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4902

The 2026-27 Budget: How to Use One-Time Revenue Improvements

Feb 20, 2026 - For example, we recommend the Legislature: Do Not Suspend the $3  Billion True Up Into the Budget Stabilization Account (BSA). The Governor ’s budget proposes suspending a roughly $3  billion true-up deposit that otherwise would be required in 2025-26.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5133

California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk

Jan 23, 2026 - To do this, we add a stock market indicator to our forecast models alongside other the economic variables. The added risk variable weighs on the range of revenue outcomes that we view as most plausible.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5104

Rethinking California's Reserve Policy

Apr 10, 2025 - For example, in 2018 ‑19, the Legislature created the Budget Deficit Savings Account —which was used to temporarily hold a $2.6  billion optional deposit into the BSA —and the Safety Net Reserve —a reserve specifically dedicated to CalWORKs and Medi ‑Cal.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5028

The State Appropriations Limit

Apr 21, 2021 - Since 2018, the Governor also declared states of emergency related to various wildfires. For example, the Governor declared a state of emergency related to the Camp wildfire on November 8, 2018, and related to the LNU Lightning Complex and other wildfires burning statewide on August  18, 2020.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4416

The 2023-24 Budget: Initial Comments on the Governor's May Revision

May 15, 2023 - The 2018‑19 budget created the Safety Net Reserve to set aside funds for future costs of two programs—CalWORKs and Medi‑Cal—in the event of a recession. Absent policy changes, these programs typically experience increased expenditures during a recession when unemployment increases and program caseloads rises.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4769

The 2022-23 Budget: State Appropriations Limit Implications

Mar 30, 2022 - (As of 2018 ‑19, cities and counties had over $150  billion in collective room under their limits. As a result, changing this definition is unlikely to result in very many local governments exceeding their limits.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4583

The 2021-22 Budget: The Governor’s Proposition 2 Proposals

Apr 26, 2021 - In particular, the Legislature deposited an additional $2  billion into the BSA in 2016-17 and an additional $2.6  billion in 2018-19. However, a portion of these deposits ultimately were used to fund required true ups.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4418

Flexible Funding to California in the American Rescue Plan

Mar 23, 2021 - The state is not expected to experience a reduction in General Fund revenue in 2020-21 or 2021-22 compared to 2018-19 (the baseline revenue year in the ARP). Specifically, General Fund revenues (excluding constitutional reserve deposits) were $143  billion in 2018-19, while comparable revenues for 2020-21 and 2021-22 currently are estimated to be $158  billion and $161  billion, respectively.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4407