California’s Low-Wage Workers and Minimum Wage

Mar 11, 2024 - In this context, the two main parts of the Arellano and Bonhomme (2017) model are (1)  a set of equations that predict the conditional quantiles of the wage distribution, and (2)  an equation that predicts whether each worker responds to the survey ’s wage questions.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4878/4

Evaluation of a Tax Exemption for Zero-Emission Buses

Apr 15, 2024 - In 2020, 11  percent of buses entering service for small transit agencies were ZEBs; by 2022, that share had grown to 38  percent. As described in the “Background ” section, the ICT establishes higher ZEB purchase requirements for large transit agencies than for small transit agencies.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4890

The 2022-23 Budget: Supply Chain and Port Infrastructure Proposals

Feb 15, 2022 - Short ‑Term vs. Long ‑Term Strategies. The  current supply chain disruptions are the result of both short ‑term issues, such as greater consumer demand, as well as long ‑term issues, such as the capacity and resilience of the goods movement system.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4540

Updating the California Necessities Index

Aug 14, 2025 - While future data availability cannot be fully predicted, certain statistics are statistically more reliable than others and ar e thus more likely to be available in the future. Options Considered Based on the criteria discussed above, we consider the following options for replacing the CNI.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5065

The 2024-25 Budget: Governor's Office of Business and Economic Development

Feb 20, 2024 - We estimate the Governor ’s budget predicts the state ’s 2024-25 budget will need to address a $58 billion deficit . In December, our office predicted a somewhat large deficit of $68 billion . Since then, recent data has continued to point to the budget problem being larger than the Governor’s budget assumes.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4846

The 2023-24 Budget: Multiyear Budget Outlook

May 23, 2023 - While the May Revision makes several billion dollars in spending reductions, it maintains $11  billion in one ‑time and temporary spending in 2023 ‑24. We recommend this spending be reduced further (from $11  billion to roughly $4  billion) and out ‑year one ‑time and temporary spending be eliminated entirely, as explained further below.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4772

The 2025-26 California Spending Plan: Other Provisions

Oct 16, 2025 - The budget assumes reductions to CDFA ’s budget of $11  million ($9.8  million General Fund) authorized by Control Sections 4.05 and 4.12 of the budget act. This includes $8.2  million ($7  million General Fund) in efficiency reductions and $2.8  million General Fund in vacant position reductions.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5081

The 2025-26 Budget: Update on Implementation of New Firearm and Ammunition Tax

Feb 19, 2025 - Specifically, an 11  percent tax is applied to the gross retail sales of firearms, firearm precursor parts, and ammunition. Retail sales to law enforcement agencies and active or retired peace officers, as well as those that total less than $5,000 per quarter, are exempt from this tax.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4970

Fixing Unemployment Insurance

Dec 2, 2024 - For example, if California had had equivalently sized reserves going into the Great Recession, it still would have required a federal loan, but that loan would have been $5 billion rather than $11 billion.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4943

The 2021-22 Budget: Business Tax Incentives

Jan 28, 2021 - The high recapture rate suggests that many businesses with tax credit agreements could not accurately predict their future hiring and investment choices. Additionally, the high recapture rate raises new concerns about the number of new private ‑sector jobs created by this program.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4327