Refocusing the Workers’ Compensation Subsequent Injury Program

Jul 10, 2025 - Full Employer Costs Likely $2   Billion to $3   Billion Annually. Looking broadly at incoming claims each year, employers likely face lifetime SIBTF costs totaling $2  billion to $3  billion for each cohort of claims that injured workers submit each year.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5062

MOU Fiscal Analysis: Bargaining Unit 8 (Firefighters)

Aug 19, 2025 - Therefore, we recommend the Legislature require an estimation of the fiscal effect and time line to implement a 56-hour duty week be provided prior to any discussion during the successor MOU negotiations in 2027.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5066

Labor Agreements to Achieve Budgetary Savings

Jul 11, 2025 - Section 19829.5 of the Government Code establishes our ten-day review of proposed MOUs. While our office has issued unit-specific analyses for Units 6, 9, and 12, we have not issued analyses of the agreements with the other 18 bargaining units discussed below due to the ratification provisions provided in the budget.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5063

MOU Fiscal Analysis: Bargaining Unit 6 (Corrections)

Jun 23, 2025 - As such, whatever is ratified under a Unit 6 agreement will create a precedent that likely will be used as a model for successor agreements with the other six bargaining units expected to come to the table this ye ar.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5058

The 2022-23 Budget: State Payments on the Federal Unemployment Insurance Loan

Feb 15, 2022 - This estimate of likely fraud is much smaller than the $1.3  billion a separate EDD analysis flagged as possible fraud, but this $1.3  billion estimate likely is overstated. To arrive at the estimate of $1.3  billion, EDD counts state UI claims as fraudulent if a worker did not respond to a request for additional identity documents after they had started receiving benefits.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4543

MOU Fiscal Analysis: Bargaining Unit 7 (Public Safety)

Sep 7, 2023 - Moreover, if inflation remains elevated, state employees ’ purchasing power likely will be further eroded by the end of the agreement as the other GSIs are lower. Alternatively, if inflation continues to fall, the GSIs could be closer to the rate of inflation.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4802

MOU Fiscal Analysis: Bargaining Unit 16 (Physicians, Dentists, and Podiatrists)

Jul 14, 2025 - In addition, sharing the funding cost with state employees likely strengthens any argument that the benefit is protected under the State Constitution, potentially preventing the Legislature from reducing or modifying the benefit in the future.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5064

MOU Fiscal Analysis: Bargaining Unit 5 (Highway Patrol)

Aug 23, 2024 - Unit 5 More Likely to Be White and Male … Peace officer jobs —like CHP officers —historically have been filled by men. As Figure  4 shows, CHP officers are less diverse than correctional officers or the statewide civil service workforce.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4920

MOU Fiscal Analysis: Bargaining Units 10 (Professional Scientists) and 18 (Psychiatric Technician)

Sep 9, 2025 - Like the 2024 MOU, the agreement would last two years and would expire July 1, 2027. We highlight the changes relative to the 2024 MOU below. Increases 2025-26 Special Salary Adjustments for Employees Below Top Step of Salary Ranges.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5073

MOU Fiscal Analysis: Bargaining Unit 16 (Physicians)

Sep 7, 2023 - This means that employees in these two occupations are more likely to choose to leave state service without retiring and either seek employment with another employer or exit the state workforce. Vacant Positions Unit 16 Vacancy Rate Higher Today Than in 2006.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4801