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Report

The Property Tax Inheritance Exclusion

October 9, 2017 - When a property changes hands the taxes paid for the property often increase substantially. This is not true for most inherited property. Three decades ago, the Legislature and voters decided inherited property should not be reassessed when transferred. This has been a consequential decision. Many have benefited from the tax savings this policy affords. Nonetheless, the inheritance exclusion raises some policy concerns. Because of this, the Legislature may want to revisit the inheritance exclusion. Depending on the Legislature’s goals, the existing policy may be crafted too broadly and options are available to better target its benefits.

A short video accompanies this report.


Handout

Overview of High School Career Technical Education

October 2, 2017 - Presented to Assembly Committee on Education; Assembly Budget Subcommittee No. 2 on Education Finance; Assembly Select Committee on Career Technical Education and Building a 21st Century Workforce; and Assembly Committee on Jobs, Economic Development, and the Economy


Report

Volatility of California’s Personal Income Tax Structure

September 28, 2017 - For many years, personal income tax (PIT) volatility has complicated budgetary planning. This report analyzes the causes of PIT volatility. We find that about 40 percent of PIT volatility is due to choices about which types of income to tax, another 40 percent is due to the progressive rate structure, and the last 20 percent is due to deductions and credits. The Legislature could choose to make the tax less volatile, but actions to reduce volatility could reduce future growth of state tax revenues.


Post

Update on School District Retiree Health Benefits

September 25, 2017 - School districts face growing cost pressure related to the health benefits they provide for their retired employees. The first section of this post explains how districts structure their retiree health benefits, and the second section analyzes historical spending levels and future liabilities. We find that the unfunded liability—the total future cost of providing the retiree health benefits that employees have already earned, after subtracting the funds already set aside to cover those benefits—is about $24 billion across all districts. Some districts have taken steps to reduce their future costs, such as requiring employees to work longer before qualifying for these benefits. A few districts also are beginning to set aside additional funds now to cover future retiree health benefits, a practice that could yield significant long-term savings.


Report

Measuring CalWORKs Performance

September 6, 2017 - Currently, performance measurement in the California Work Opportunity and Responsibility to Kids (CalWORKs) program is relatively limited and largely focuses on processes involved with the program's operation—particular emphasis is given to a federal performance measure known as the "work participation rate" (WPR)—rather than on the program's end results, or outcomes. As part of the 2017-18 budget package, the Legislature adopted a new framework for performance measurement in CalWORKs that will be known as the CalWORKs Outcomes and Accountability Review (Cal-OAR). In this report, we outline the rationales for measuring program performance and outline why, ideally, performance measurement should focus on outcomes. We then raise several issues to be considered as the Cal-OAR system is further developed and implemented in the coming years.


Handout

Overview of Higher Education in California

August 31, 2017 - Presented to Assembly Select Committee on the Master Plan for Higher Education in California


Handout

Overview of Student Loans

August 29, 2017 - Presented to: Select Committee on Youth and California’s Future and Assembly Committee on Banking and Finance


Handout

2017-18 Cap-and-Trade Expenditure Plan

August 24, 2017 - Presented to Senate Budget and Fiscal Review, Subcommittee No. 2


Handout

2017-18 Cap-and-Trade Expenditure Plan

August 23, 2017 - Presented to Assembly Budget Subcommittee No. 3 on Resources and Transportation


Handout

Proposition 57 Regulations

August 22, 2017 - Presented to: Senate Public Safety Committee and Assembly Public Safety Committee


Report

Supplemental Report of the 2017-18 Budget Act

July 19, 2017 - Statements of legislative intent and requests for studies adopted during deliberations on the 2017-18 budget package.

Correction 7/31/17: Removed 3100-301-0001 California Science Center – ADA elevator.

Correction 7/31/17: Title of item 1701-001-0067 changed to “Broker-Dealer Investment Advisor Program.”


Post

July 2017 Update: Los Angeles’ Bid for the Olympics and Paralympics

July 6, 2017 - Los Angeles' prospects for hosting an Olympic and Paralympic Games are strong, according to widespread reports. The California Legislature has provided a $250 million backup guarantee for shortfalls of the 2024 Games, but Los Angeles' bid for 2024 is fairly low risk and it is hoped that no state guarantee funds will ever have to be paid out. As the possible due date for the Governor's execution of a guarantee contract with Games organizers approaches, our office continues to recommend a strong legislative oversight role to help Games organizers deliver a low-cost and successful event. This update focuses on (1) yesterday's report from a key Olympic commission evaluating the 2024 bids of Los Angeles and Paris and (2) the widely reported possibility that Los Angeles or Paris will be offered the chance to host the Games in 2028 instead of 2024.


Letter

Letter to Honorable Cristina Garcia Regarding Oversupply of Allowances in the Cap-and-Trade Program

June 26, 2017 -

Provides various analyses related to an oversupply of allowances in the state's cap-and-trade program. Specifically, the letter:

  • Estimates the range of the cumulative allowance oversupply in the cap-and-trade program through 2020.
  • Assesses the impact of allowing this oversupply to carry over into a post-2020 program on (1) future greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and (2) near- and long-term allowance prices.
  • Assesses the impact of alternative approaches to addressing the oversupply of allowances and the connection between the current program and a post-2020 program.


Post

How Will Aging Baby Boomers Affect Future Property Tax Revenues?

June 20, 2017 - In the coming years, more and more aging homeowners likely will look to sell their homes. This surge in sales should boost local government property tax collections. These potential property tax gains are likely to be offset by an increase in the transfer of homes from parents to children which, unlike most home sales, does not trigger higher tax payments.


Handout

Overview of California Climate Goals and Policies

June 14, 2017 - Presented to Joint Committee on Climate Change Policies