The 2021-22 Budget: Multiyear Budget Outlook

May 23, 2021 - Under our estimates, recent gains in revenues —particularly from taxes on higher income earners —would persist and continue to grow close to the historical average rate. (For more discussion of our assumptions, please see: The 2021‑22 Budget: May Revenue Outlook .)
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4437

Fiscal Outlook: In-Home Supportive Services (IHSS)

Nov 14, 2018 - It is important to note that the small net growth in state IHSS expenditures in 2019 ‑20 masks a number of cost increases and expected savings. Specifically, in 2019 ‑20, most of the estimated growth in state IHSS costs is expected to be offset by General Fund savings resulting from the statutorily scheduled 7  percent reduction of IHSS service hours triggered by the expiration of the current managed care organization (MCO) tax at the end of 2018 ‑19.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3899

The 2021-22 Budget: The Governor’s Suspension Proposal

Jan 29, 2021 - Recent budgets have used funding from Proposition  56, which established a higher tax on tobacco products, to increase provider payments in Medi ‑Cal. If the suspensions went into effect, most of these payment increases would cease.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4328

The 2019-20 Budget: Structuring the Budget: Reserves, Debt and Liabilities

Feb 5, 2019 - To ensure the General Fund is balanced, anticipated expenditures must not exceed resources available. There are two main components of available resources: Revenues. Revenues from taxes and fees are the major sources of available resources.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3925

The 2022-23 Budget: Multiyear Budget Outlook

May 24, 2022 - Our office ’s expenditure estimates account for inflation when cost ‑of ‑living adjustments are required by law and in areas where the state typically provides these adjustments, for example, in employee compensation.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4602

The 2020-21 Budget: Structuring the Budget

Feb 10, 2020 - Managed Care Organization (MCO) Tax Approved. After enacting the 2019 ‑ 20 b udget in June, the Legislature reauthorized the MCO tax in September. The MCO tax generates General Fund benefit by taxing enrollment in MCOs and using that revenue to offset General Fund costs in Medi ‑Cal.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4150

Federal Spending in California

Jan 18, 2017 - Total Federal Expenditures by County. In this post, estimates of total federal expenditures by county include: Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, federal civilian wages, military wages, government contracts, veterans ’ benefits, Supplementary Security Income (SSI), the refundable portion of the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC), and Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) benefits.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3531/6

Despite Fiscal Forecasting Uncertainties, Multiyear Budget Planning Essential

May 27, 2021 - Prudence dictates that only when baseline projections show operating surpluses (annual revenues exceeding expenditures) can new ongoing commitments or tax reductions be considered. Conversely, if projections indicate a looming structural deficit, the estimates are helpful in functioning as an early warning system.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4443

The 2016-17 Budget: California Spending Plan

Oct 5, 2016 - The state ’s “Big Three ” General Fund taxes —the personal income tax, sales and use tax, and corporation tax —are assumed to increase at a slightly higher rate (4.2  percent). The difference between these growth rates is attributable to a decline in other revenues.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3487

The 2023-24 Budget: Overview of the Spending Plan (Final Version)

Oct 16, 2023 - The 2023-24 Budget: Overview of the Spending Plan (Final Version) Overview of the Spending Plan (Final Version) Appendix 4: Large One-Time and Temporary Augmentations Transportation Appendix 4, Figure 1 Remaining Large One ‑Time and Temporary Augmentations From the 2021 ‑22 and 2022 ‑23 Budget Packages: Business and Labor General Fund (In millions) Begin new information technology overhaul
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4788/4