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May 24, 2024 - This post provides initial high-level takeaways and comments regarding May Revision proposals for child welfare programs. Includes comments on the overall child welfare budget—focusing on new proposals at the time of the administration’s May Revision—as well as comments and questions related to the updated proposal for statutorily required permanent foster care rates.
May 24, 2024 - Presented to: California Society of Municipal Analysts
May 23, 2024 - This post presents our office’s forecast of the condition of the state General Fund budget through 2027-28 under our revenue estimates and assuming the Governor’s May Revision policies were adopted.
May 23, 2024 - This post assesses and makes recommendations regarding the Governor’s 2024-25 May Revision proposals related to broadband infrastructure.
May 22, 2024 - This post provides our initial assessment of the Governor’s proposed managed care organization (MCO) tax package in the May Revision. It first provides background on the MCO tax and the package that was in place at Governor’s budget. (The Governor’s budget included a plan to implement a multiyear spending framework that was adopted in last year’s budget.) Next, it summarizes the proposed changes at May Revision. It then provides our initial assessment and recommendations.
May 21, 2024 - The proposed elimination to the Future of Public Health funding very likely would adversely impact the ability of the California Department of Public Health and local health jurisdictions to maintain the effort to improve public health made since the pandemic. The Legislature might consider whether there is a middle ground between fully eliminating and fully maintaining the Future of Public Health funding. We note that any reduction to the size of the public health budget solution would however require a budget solution of an equivalent amount elsewhere in the budget.
May 21, 2024 - The Governor’s May Revision proposes to (1) administratively establish a new ongoing unallocated 7.95 percent reduction to state operation expenditures and (2) make the 2024-25 unallocated reduction to state operation expenditures related to vacant positions ongoing (it was approved as “one time” as part of the Legislature’s early action package). Between the two proposals, the administration proposes that the Legislature delegate responsibility to the Governor to determine how to permanently reduce state operations by roughly 10 percent. As we discuss in this post, we think there is merit to the Department of Finance finding operational efficiencies; however, (1) any resulting reductions would be made based on the Governor's priorities and not necessarily the Legislature's priorities and (2) we think there is a high risk that the level of savings assumed from these two unallocated reductions will not fully materialize in 2024-25. To the extent that savings do not materialize, these proposals would create a larger future budget challenge.
May 17, 2024 - On May 14, 2024, Governor Newsom presented a revised state budget proposal to the Legislature. This annual proposed revised budget is referred to as the May Revision. In this brief, we provide a summary of and comments on the Governor’s revised budget, focusing on the overall condition and structure of the state General Fund—the budget’s main operating account.
May 16, 2024 - Proposition 98 and K-12 Funding in the May Revision
May 9, 2024 - This brief is the fourth of a six-part series covering higher education trends in California. The fourth brief focuses on higher education finance and how it has changed over the past few decades. The brief also raises key issues for the Legislature to consider as it makes related policy and budget decisions.
May 7, 2024 - This brief provides background on student housing insecurity at the higher education segments, provides an implementation update on the housing assistance provided through the segments’ rapid rehousing and basic needs programs, and recommends changes to statutory reporting requirements for these programs.
May 6, 2024 - Presented to: Assembly Budget Subcommittee No.1 on Health
April 24, 2024 - This report examines disproportionalities and disparities across California’s child welfare system in terms of income and race/ethnicity. The report provides background on the child welfare system, describes child welfare system disproportionalities and disparities, and lays out potential drivers of these inequities. Additionally, the report identifies a number of decision-making and policy areas that can help address disproportionalities and disparities, and provides options for the Legislature to consider.
April 22, 2024 - Presented to: Assembly Budget Subcommittee No. 1 on Health
April 18, 2024 - This brief is the third of a six-part series covering higher education trends in California. The third brief focuses on student outcomes and how they have changed over the past few decades. The brief also raises key issues for the Legislature to consider as it makes related policy and budget decisions.