The 2018-19 Budget: Overview of the Governor's Budget [Publication Details]

Jan 12, 2018 - This publication is our office’s initial response to the Governor’s 2018-19 budget. In the proposed plan, the Governor places a high priority on building reserves, proposing a total reserve balance of nearly $16 billion. We believe the Governor’s continued focus on building more reserves is prudent in light of economic and federal budget uncertainty.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Detail/3731

The 2018-19 Budget: Overview of the Governor's Budget

Jan 12, 2018 - Other Key Budget Proposals Over $200   Million in Business Tax Credits. The Governor proposes extending the California Competes tax credit program —which provides tax subsidies to select businesses that agree to expand employment or investment in the state —for five more years.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3731

Long-term Capacity for Debt Payments Under Proposition 2

Dec 21, 2017 - Under these reevaluations, the rainy day fund deposit is revised up (down) if capital gains taxes were higher (lower) than the state ’s prior estimates. The state does not revisit its estimate of the base amount in the true up calculation.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3727

The 2018-19 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook

Nov 15, 2017 - The near-term budget outlook is positive. Under our current estimates, the state would have $19.3 billion in total reserves (including $7.5 billion in discretionary reserves) at the end of 2018-19, assuming the Legislature makes no additional budget commitments. The Legislature can use discretionary resources to build more budget reserves, increase spending, and/or reduce taxes.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3718/1

The 2018-19 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook

Nov 15, 2017 - California, for example, may be disproportionately affected by proposed changes to the state and local tax deduction, but the state ’s economy also could benefit from other parts of the plan. Changes to the federal tax code also could affect the administration of state tax laws, and this could lead to proposals for legislation to conform California ’s tax laws to some of the federal changes.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3718

The 2018-19 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook [Publication Details]

Nov 15, 2017 - The Legislature can use discretionary resources to build more budget reserves, increase spending, and/or reduce taxes. We also estimate the Legislature will have $5.3 billion in uncommitted school and community college (Proposition 98) funds to allocate in 2018-19.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Detail/3718

Fiscal Outlook: Medi-Cal

Nov 15, 2017 - Expiration of Managed Care Organization (MCO) Tax Current MCO Tax. The current MCO tax is assessed on a large number of managed care plans in the state. Revenues from the MCO tax, which leverage federal funding for Medi-Cal, provide a substantial General Fund offset —an estimated $1.8  billion in 2017-18.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3715

Fiscal Outlook: In-Home Supportive Services (IHSS)

Nov 15, 2017 - Under current law, the MCO tax is set to expire at the end of  2018 ‑19. Given this expected expiration of the MCO tax, our outlook projections assume that the General Fund support for the restoration of service hours will not be included beginning in  2019 ‑20.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3712

The 2017-18 Budget: California Spending Plan

Oct 18, 2017 - The 2017 ‑18 budget expands the state Earned Income Tax Credit to taxpayers with self ‑employment income and to include taxpayers with incomes up to $22,300, significantly increasing the number of taxpayers eligible to claim the tax credit.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3694/1

The 2017-18 Budget: California Spending Plan

Oct 18, 2017 - (As seen in Step Two above, prior to 2017 ‑18, sales tax growth paid prior year cost increases.) This sales tax payment acceleration will be ongoing. Despite Additional Revenue, Counties Will Face Some Costs.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3694/8