Building Reserves to Prepare for a Recession

Mar 7, 2018 - To put this in more concrete but very rough terms, a moderate recession, like the dot ‑com bust, could lead to a $ 40  b illion budget problem. A more mild recession might result in a $ 20  b illion budget problem.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3769

The 2019-20 Budget: Overview of the Governor's Budget

Jan 14, 2019 - Figure 4 Summary of Governor ’s Disaster ‑Related Proposals for 2019 ‑20 ( In Millions)
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3916

The 2018-19 May Revision: LAO Economic Outlook

May 12, 2018 - The typical PE ratio since 1990 is 21 (19 if the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s and early 2000s is excluded). Similar to the price-to-earnings ratio, the home price-to-rent ratio is used to gauge if home prices are in line with underlying demand for housing.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3829

Managing California’s Cash

Sep 3, 2019 - After a period of relative calm in the mid ‑ and late ‑1990s, California faced another series of years with acute budget problems following the dot ‑com bust and ensuing recession. Although the dot ‑com bust was relatively mild in economic terms, it hit the California budget —which is particularly reliant on the Bay Area ’s technology sector —especially hard.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4092

The 2026-27 Budget: California Competes Extension

Mar 18, 2026 - This is especially consistent with the 20 18 changes, since professional service firms tend to be classed as “non-tradeable, ” meaning they are often already required to locate near their customer base, and thus tax incentives are unlikely to influence their decision to locate in California.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5162

Local Sales Tax Rebates in 2023-24

Sep 16, 2025 - Next, we examine some economic and demographic features of two groups of jurisdictions: (1)  those whose 2023-24 rebate payments totaled $1 to $20 per resident, and (2)  those whose rebate payments totaled more than $20 per resident.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5074

Fixing Unemployment Insurance

Dec 2, 2024 - During the phase ‑in period, the state also entered the dot ‑com recession. These two cost pressures absorbed the remaining flexibility in the state ’s UI tax system. As  shown in Figure  4 , the state began this period in Schedule C but quickly moved to Schedule F+, the highest tax schedule, where it has remained since.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4943

The 2025-26 California Spending Plan: Other Provisions

Oct 16, 2025 - The 2025-26 budget package includes up to $20  million for DOF to enter into one or more new contracts to implement operational improvements that allow the state to reduce state operations expenditures.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5081/

The 2017-18 Budget: Governor's Gann Limit Proposal

Mar 2, 2017 - As revenues surged during the dot ‑com boom of the late 1990s, however, the state approached the limit. The state had excess revenues in 1999 ‑00, but because appropriations were under the limit in 2000 ‑01, additional Proposition  98 spending and taxpayer rebates were not required.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3596

Community Land Trust Property Tax Exemption

Dec 20, 2024 - Community Land Trust Property Tax Exemption December 20, 2024 Community Land Trust Property Tax Exemption Properties used to provide affordable housing to low-income Californians generally are exempt from property taxes.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4946