Building Reserves to Prepare for a Recession

Mar 7, 2018 - This would consist of two amounts: $13. 5  b illion in the BSA and $2. 3  b illion in the SFEU. The administration currently estimates a very small “true down ” to the BSA in 2017 ‑18, although that may change at the time of the May Revision.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3769

California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk

Jan 23, 2026 - The current discrepancy over the size of the state ’s budget deficit —$18  billion under the Legislative Analyst ’s Office estimate versus $3  billion in the Governor ’s budget —fits squarely within that pattern.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5104

Evolution of the Balance of the Budget Stabilization Account

Nov 14, 2018 - Proposition  58 required BSA deposits to increase from 1  percent of General Fund revenues in 2006 ‑07 to 3  percent in 2008 ‑09 and every year thereafter. Proposition  58 Required Deposits Until BSA Reached Certain Size.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3900

The 2026-27 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook

Nov 19, 2025 - Figure 3 General Fund Condition Under Fiscal Outlook (In Millions)
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5091

The 2018-19 Budget: California Spending Plan (Final Version)

Oct 2, 2018 - The budget also includes $200, 000 t o begin advanced planning for two future renovation projects proposed for 2021 ‑22. Other Budget Augmentations. The budget also includes (1)  $3. 1  m illion for the replacement of IT equipment that has reached the end of its useful life and (2)  $1. 4  m illion to extend the state ’s clean air vehicle decal program as authorized by Chapter   630 o f 2017 (A B  544 , Bloom).
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3870/10

The 2018-19 Budget: California Spending Plan (Final Version)

Oct 2, 2018 - This is a net decrease of about $3. 5  b illion ( 23  p ercent) compared to 2017 ‑ 18 e stimated expenditures. This reduction primarily is related to a $2. 6  b illion decrease in the amount of bond funds budgeted.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3870/9

The 2024-25 Budget: Overview of the Governor's Budget

Jan 13, 2024 - We Estimate the Administration Solved a Larger Budget Problem —$58   Billion. While the Governor cited a budget problem of $38  billion, we estimate the administration solved a budget problem of $58  billion.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4825

The 2026-27 Budget: Overview of the Governor's Budget

Jan 12, 2026 - The administration projects the budget faces a roughly $3  billion deficit. This is lower than our November Fiscal Outlook estimate of an $18  billion deficit, for two offsetting reasons. First, and most importantly, the administration ’s revenue estimate is considerably higher than ours because it does not incorporate the strong risk of a stock market downturn.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5101

Rethinking California's Reserve Policy

Apr 10, 2025 - In March of 2004, on the heels of the dot ‑com bust, voters passed Proposition  58, which created the Budget Stabilization Account (BSA). In the 2006 ‑07 budget, the Legislature deposited $472  million into the BSA and in 2007 ‑08 deposited $1.5  billion.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5028

The 2024-25 Budget: Deficit Update

Feb 20, 2024 - The 2024-25 Budget: Deficit Update Deficit Update Under LAO Revenue Update, Budget Problem Grows by $15  Billion The state already faces a significant deficit this year — we estimate it totaled $58 billion under the administration’s revenue forecast at the time the Governor’s budget was proposed in January.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4850