Building Reserves to Prepare for a Recession

Mar 7, 2018 - By most measures, the recession of the early 1990s was more severe than the dot ‑com bust in the early 2000s. For example, unemployment in California reached 9. 7  p ercent in mid ‑ to late ‑1992, but peaked at 6. 9  p ercent after the dot ‑com bust.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3769

The 2018-19 May Revision: LAO Economic Outlook

May 12, 2018 - The typical PE ratio since 1990 is 21 (19 if the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s and early 2000s is excluded). Similar to the price-to-earnings ratio, the home price-to-rent ratio is used to gauge if home prices are in line with underlying demand for housing.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3829

The 2025-26 California Spending Plan: Other Provisions

Oct 16, 2025 - The budget package includes a final year of funding totaling $5.5  million from the General Fund for the California Education Learning Lab, with the intention to eliminate the program beginning in 2026-27 (which will achieve $4  million in ongoing savings).
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5081

Managing California’s Cash

Sep 3, 2019 - After a period of relative calm in the mid ‑ and late ‑1990s, California faced another series of years with acute budget problems following the dot ‑com bust and ensuing recession. Although the dot ‑com bust was relatively mild in economic terms, it hit the California budget —which is particularly reliant on the Bay Area ’s technology sector —especially hard.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4092

The 2025-26 Budget: CDTFA’s Tobacco Programs

Feb 14, 2025 - CDTFA ’s estimated cost to implement AB  3218 and SB  1230 is $3.3  million in 2024-25, $5.5  million per year in 2025-26 and 2026-27, and $3.1  million in 2027-28 and ongoing. The new laws create penalties that could raise revenue to offset some of these costs.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4966

Overview of Diversity Efforts in the Film Tax Credit Program

May 1, 2025 - Based on the figures presented above, the Black population is somewhat overrepresented in California ’s motion picture industry (6.6  percent) compared to their share of the total population (5.5  percent).
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5036

Fixing Unemployment Insurance

Dec 2, 2024 - During the phase ‑in period, the state also entered the dot ‑com recession. These two cost pressures absorbed the remaining flexibility in the state ’s UI tax system. As  shown in Figure  4 , the state began this period in Schedule C but quickly moved to Schedule F+, the highest tax schedule, where it has remained since.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4943

The 2023-24 Budget: Multiyear Budget Outlook

May 23, 2023 - Between 2023 ‑24 and 2026 ‑27, HHS programs grow at an average annual rate of 5.5  percent under our projections, compared to 3.4  percent under the administration ’s estimates. Remaining programs —including employee compensation, pensions, and higher education —are responsible for the remaining $4  billion in difference in that year.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4772

The 2019-20 May Revision: Sales Tax Exemptions for Diapers and Menstrual Products

May 12, 2019 - The administration estimates that the forgone revenue from this exemption will be $5.5  million General Fund ($12  million total) in 2019 ‑20, $11  million General Fund ($24  million total) in 2020 ‑21, and $5.5  million General Fund ($12  million total) in 2021 ‑22.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4040

The 2019-20 Budget: Proposition 56 Revenues: Reductions in Fixed Allocations

Feb 14, 2019 - The 2019-20 Budget: Proposition 56 Revenues: Reductions in Fixed Allocations Department of Public Health —Enforcement 6.0 California Department of Tax and Fee Administration —Enforcement 6.0 5.5 No Multiyear Proposal.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3939