Building Reserves to Prepare for a Recession

Mar 7, 2018 - By most measures, the recession of the early 1990s was more severe than the dot ‑com bust in the early 2000s. For example, unemployment in California reached 9. 7  p ercent in mid ‑ to late ‑1992, but peaked at 6. 9  p ercent after the dot ‑com bust.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3769

The 2018-19 May Revision: LAO Economic Outlook

May 12, 2018 - The typical PE ratio since 1990 is 21 (19 if the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s and early 2000s is excluded). Similar to the price-to-earnings ratio, the home price-to-rent ratio is used to gauge if home prices are in line with underlying demand for housing.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3829

The 2020-21 Budget: Overview of the Governor's Budget

Jan 13, 2020 - First, the Governor proposes putting a $4. 8  b illion bond before voters in November 2020 t o fund a variety of activities intended to help the state mitigate and prepare for the effects of climate change.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4135

Managing California’s Cash

Sep 3, 2019 - After a period of relative calm in the mid ‑ and late ‑1990s, California faced another series of years with acute budget problems following the dot ‑com bust and ensuing recession. Although the dot ‑com bust was relatively mild in economic terms, it hit the California budget —which is particularly reliant on the Bay Area ’s technology sector —especially hard.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4092

The 2026-27 Budget: CDTFA’s Cannabis and Tobacco Programs

Feb 23, 2026 - The Governor proposes $3.3  million of augmentations in 2026 ‑27 and ongoing to address enforcement responsibilities stemming from a new law on hemp ‑derived cannabinoids (Chapter  248 of 2025 [AB  8, Aguiar ‑Curry]).
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5132

The 2026-27 Budget: State Mandate—Disclosure Requirements and Deferral of Property Taxation

Feb 19, 2026 - However, Proposition  19 (2020) allows certain homeowners (such as people who are 55 years or older) to transfer their existing home value for property tax purposes to a new home anywhere in the state.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5130

Fixing Unemployment Insurance

Dec 2, 2024 - Figure  8 shows how this would play out if contributions and benefits continue to track with historical trends over the next two decades. As the figure shows, we do not expect the state to achieve solvency without the federal surcharge.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4943

The 2026-27 Budget: California Competes Extension

Mar 18, 2026 - For awards made between 2014 and 2020, the recapture rate is almost 55  percent. This indicates that around half of the net job increases and investments promised in negotiated agreements ultimately never come to fruition or are not maintained long term.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5162

The 2022-23 Budget: Temporary Limits on Business Tax Provisions

Jan 26, 2022 - In  anticipation of a $54  billion budget problem, Chapter  8 of 2020 (A B  85 , Committee on Budget) limited the use of net operating loss deductions and business credits for 2020, 2021, and 2022 to temporarily increase tax revenue.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4500

The 2025-26 Budget: California’s Film Tax Credit

Feb 28, 2025 - Figure  8 shows the distribution of such incentives across the U.S. Tax credits based on a percentage of expenditures made in ‑state are the most common type of incentive, but several states provide rebates or partial exemptions from taxation.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5000