Building Reserves to Prepare for a Recession

Mar 7, 2018 - By most measures, the recession of the early 1990s was more severe than the dot ‑com bust in the early 2000s. For example, unemployment in California reached 9. 7  p ercent in mid ‑ to late ‑1992, but peaked at 6. 9  p ercent after the dot ‑com bust.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3769

The 2018-19 May Revision: LAO Economic Outlook

May 12, 2018 - The typical PE ratio since 1990 is 21 (19 if the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s and early 2000s is excluded). Similar to the price-to-earnings ratio, the home price-to-rent ratio is used to gauge if home prices are in line with underlying demand for housing.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3829

Managing California’s Cash

Sep 3, 2019 - The early 1990s were marked by a series of sales of RANs and RAWs —at the time, the largest such sales in the state ’s history (see Figure  5). Second Cash Crunch in Early 2000s. After a period of relative calm in the mid ‑ and late ‑1990s, California faced another series of years with acute budget problems following the dot ‑com bust and ensuing recession.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4092

Overview of Efforts to Modernize EDD’s Benefit Systems [Publication Details]

Feb 24, 2026 - Assembly Budget Subcommittee No. 5 on State Administration
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Detail/5135

The 2026-27 Budget: California Competes Extension

Mar 18, 2026 - Figure  5 shows both the total value of awards made and the amount recaptured for each year of the program. For awards made between 2014 and 2020, the recapture rate is almost 55  percent. This indicates that around half of the net job increases and investments promised in negotiated agreements ultimately never come to fruition or are not maintained long term.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5162

The 2026-27 Budget: CDTFA’s Cannabis and Tobacco Programs

Feb 23, 2026 - For example, when Proposition  64 (2016) established the excise tax on cannabis, it followed this standard model by authorizing continuous appropriations for the Cannabis Tax Program from the Cannabis Tax Fund.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5132

Fixing Unemployment Insurance

Dec 2, 2024 - During the phase ‑in period, the state also entered the dot ‑com recession. These two cost pressures absorbed the remaining flexibility in the state ’s UI tax system. As  shown in Figure  4 , the state began this period in Schedule C but quickly moved to Schedule F+, the highest tax schedule, where it has remained since.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4943

The 2025-26 California Spending Plan: Other Provisions

Oct 16, 2025 - The budget provides $5  million in one-time General Fund for California Volunteers to offer grants to AmeriCorps programs to fund coaches at K-12 schools. This program has received limited-term funding in prior years, including $5  million in 2024-25.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5081

Local Sales Tax Rebates in 2023-24

Sep 16, 2025 - In nine counties, rebates exceeded $5 per resident. In seven others, rebates ranged from $1 to $5 per resident. At the other end of the spectrum, in many counties —mostly less populous counties outside of the state ’s major metropolitan areas —no jurisdictions paid any rebates in 2023-24.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5074

The 2018-19 Budget: The Administration's Proposition 55 Estimates in the May Revision

May 22, 2018 - Proposition  55 (2016). Proposition  55 (2016) extended tax rate increases on high ‑income earners from 2018 until 2030 (which voters originally passed on a temporary basis in 2012 as part of Proposition  30).
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3844