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Economy and Taxes (57)
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Building Reserves to Prepare for a Recession

Mar 7, 2018 - By most measures, the recession of the early 1990s was more severe than the dot ‑com bust in the early 2000s. For example, unemployment in California reached 9. 7  p ercent in mid ‑ to late ‑1992, but peaked at 6. 9  p ercent after the dot ‑com bust.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3769

The 2018-19 May Revision: LAO Economic Outlook

May 12, 2018 - The typical PE ratio since 1990 is 21 (19 if the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s and early 2000s is excluded). Similar to the price-to-earnings ratio, the home price-to-rent ratio is used to gauge if home prices are in line with underlying demand for housing.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3829

The 2026-27 Budget: California Competes Extension

Mar 18, 2026 - Namely, those tax credits could have been awarded to another applicant who would have been more likely to achieve their milestones. However, as we discuss next, this has not been the case in the last few years of the program.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5162

Overview of Diversity Efforts in the Film Tax Credit Program

May 1, 2025 - However, the array of interventions and the range of acceptable goals and methods, including the use of external partners to administer programs makes it difficult to provide a detailed evaluation of individual initiatives outside of broad comparisons of film tax credit recipients to the workforce more generally.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5036

The 2026-27 Budget: State Mandate—Disclosure Requirements and Deferral of Property Taxation

Feb 19, 2026 - However, Proposition  19 (2020) allows certain homeowners (such as people who are 55 years or older) to transfer their existing home value for property tax purposes to a new home anywhere in the state.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5130

Evaluation of the Property Tax Postponement Program

Oct 8, 2018 - Second, SCO reviews those applications and accepts or rejects them. Third, on behalf of those applicants that are accepted, SCO makes property tax payments to counties. Finally, the applicant (or another party, like an heir) repays SCO for the tax payments.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3885

Managing California’s Cash

Sep 3, 2019 - After a period of relative calm in the mid ‑ and late ‑1990s, California faced another series of years with acute budget problems following the dot ‑com bust and ensuing recession. Although the dot ‑com bust was relatively mild in economic terms, it hit the California budget —which is particularly reliant on the Bay Area ’s technology sector —especially hard.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4092

Fixing Unemployment Insurance

Dec 2, 2024 - Tax incidence refers to who bears the burden of a tax. Tax incidence can take two forms: economic and legal. “Legal incidence ” is simply who initially pays the tax. In the case of UI taxes, it is always the employer.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4943

The 2019-20 May Revision: Sales Tax Exemptions for Diapers and Menstrual Products

May 12, 2019 - Due to this shortfall, the state fails to assist part of the targeted population and creates an inequity between those who receive slots and those who do not. Consider Allocating Funds To Child Care Instead.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4040

Annual Report on Tax Exemptions for Medicinal Cannabis

Jun 24, 2025 - The data do not tell us who received each donation. Some patients likely received more than one donation in 2024, so this total likely overstates the number of distinct patients. For example, if a patient received six donations in 2024, then the transaction total includes that person six times.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5059