Building Reserves to Prepare for a Recession

Mar 7, 2018 - By most measures, the recession of the early 1990s was more severe than the dot ‑com bust in the early 2000s. For example, unemployment in California reached 9. 7  p ercent in mid ‑ to late ‑1992, but peaked at 6. 9  p ercent after the dot ‑com bust.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3769

The 2018-19 May Revision: LAO Economic Outlook

May 12, 2018 - The typical PE ratio since 1990 is 21 (19 if the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s and early 2000s is excluded). Similar to the price-to-earnings ratio, the home price-to-rent ratio is used to gauge if home prices are in line with underlying demand for housing.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3829

The 2026-27 Budget: California Competes Extension

Mar 18, 2026 - Of the $1.2  billion in awards made between 2021 and 2025, around $650  million, or over half, has been allocated to businesses in advanced manufacturing. This category covers subsectors such as electronics and semiconductors, aerospace, battery technology, and biotechnology.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5162

The 2026-27 Budget: CDTFA’s Cannabis and Tobacco Programs

Feb 23, 2026 - Actual spending on the Tobacco Licensing Program declined from $9.1  million in 2021 ‑22 to $6.9  million in 2024 ‑25, while actual spending on the Cannabis Tax Program grew from $8.4  million in 2021 ‑22 to $16.2  million in 2024 ‑25.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5132

Managing California’s Cash

Sep 3, 2019 - After a period of relative calm in the mid ‑ and late ‑1990s, California faced another series of years with acute budget problems following the dot ‑com bust and ensuing recession. Although the dot ‑com bust was relatively mild in economic terms, it hit the California budget —which is particularly reliant on the Bay Area ’s technology sector —especially hard.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4092

Fixing Unemployment Insurance

Dec 2, 2024 - As Figure  2 shows, the outstanding loan balance has remained essentially the same since late 2021. Under the federal loan repayment rules, employers now face escalating federal UI taxes that will be directed toward repaying the loan principal.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4943

Overview of Diversity Efforts in the Film Tax Credit Program

May 1, 2025 - Chapter  114 of 2021 (S B  144 , Portantino) required our office to issue a report summarizing the workforce diversity information collected by the California Film Commission (CFC) and evaluate the effectiveness of the tax credit for increasing diversity.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5036

The 2025-26 Budget: CDTFA’s Tobacco Programs

Feb 14, 2025 - Since the flavor ban, however, revenues have declined much faster, from $1.84  billion in 2021-22 to $1.6  billion in 2022-23, then to $1.35  billion in 2023-24 (not including the new tax on electronic cigarettes).
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4966

The 2025-26 California Spending Plan: Other Provisions

Oct 16, 2025 - The budget package provides a blanket exemption for settlements related to any wildfire occurring between tax years 2021 and 2029. Previously, state law provided income tax exemptions for wildfire settlements on a case-by-case basis.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5081/

The 2025-26 Budget: California’s Film Tax Credit

Feb 28, 2025 - The COVID ‑19 effect was short ‑lived and shoot days returned to pre ‑pandemic levels in 2021. In contrast, filming activity following the strikes has shown no signs of recovering so far, with shoot days slightly declining further in 2024.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5000