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Economy and Taxes (37)
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The 2018-19 May Revision: LAO Economic Outlook

May 12, 2018 - Figure 2 LAO May 2018 Economic Growth Scenario a Percent Change Unless Otherwise Indicated 2017
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3829

Building Reserves to Prepare for a Recession

Mar 7, 2018 - By most measures, the recession of the early 1990s was more severe than the dot ‑com bust in the early 2000s. For example, unemployment in California reached 9. 7  p ercent in mid ‑ to late ‑1992, but peaked at 6. 9  p ercent after the dot ‑com bust.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3769

The 2026-27 Budget: California Competes Extension

Mar 18, 2026 - Program staff must weigh these possibly competing factors, and the high recapture rate cou ld indicate a relative favoring of high-risk, high-rewards projects. In years where the program is fully subscribed, there is an opportunity cost associated with an agreement that is not fulfilled.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5162

The 2026-27 Budget: State Mandate—Disclosure Requirements and Deferral of Property Taxation

Feb 19, 2026 - In discussions with our office, the administration indicated proposing a suspension due to the state ’s challenging budget situation. Under this proposal, Los Angeles County would not receive reimbursement for the required activities unless the mandate was funded (taken off suspension) in a future budget.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5130

Managing California’s Cash

Sep 3, 2019 - After a period of relative calm in the mid ‑ and late ‑1990s, California faced another series of years with acute budget problems following the dot ‑com bust and ensuing recession. Although the dot ‑com bust was relatively mild in economic terms, it hit the California budget —which is particularly reliant on the Bay Area ’s technology sector —especially hard.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4092

Sales Tax Exemption for Bunker Fuel

Nov 19, 2025 - Chapter  442 directs our office to report three performance indicators: The average monthly maritime fuel price at all domestic and international Pacific seaports. The average monthly maritime fuel price at California seaports.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5094

Updating the California Necessities Index

Aug 14, 2025 - These indices are based on changes in prices for consumers in the state ’s four largest metropolitan areas, with the California CPI ‑W tracking prices of goods and services bought by wage earners in those areas.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5065

The 2025-26 California Spending Plan: Other Provisions

Oct 16, 2025 - The office indicates that the primary goal of this initiative is to “strengthen and coordinate the administration ’s efforts to help communities identify pathways to social connectedness and engagement. ” According to the administration, the funding will be used primarily for developing and implementing a branding public awareness campaign for existing state programs, including programs operated by California Volunteers.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5081/

Fixing Unemployment Insurance

Dec 2, 2024 - During the phase ‑in period, the state also entered the dot ‑com recession. These two cost pressures absorbed the remaining flexibility in the state ’s UI tax system. As  shown in Figure  4 , the state began this period in Schedule C but quickly moved to Schedule F+, the highest tax schedule, where it has remained since.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4943

Evaluation of a Tax Exemption for Zero-Emission Buses

Apr 15, 2024 - As a result, these two performance indicators are effectively identical. Performance Indicators Shed Little Light on Effectiveness of Exemption. We describe recent trends in transit agencies ’ ZEB acquisition below.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4890