The 2019-20 Budget: Overview of the Governor's Budget

Jan 14, 2019 - Although the budget does not assume an extension of the MCO tax, it does propose the continued use of General Fund for the 7  p ercent restoration in 2019 ‑20. The cost of the 7  p ercent restoration is estimated to be $342. 3  m illion in 2019 ‑20.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3916

California’s Low-Wage Workers and Minimum Wage

Mar 11, 2024 - Cengiz, Doruk, Arindrajit Dube, Attila Lindner, and Ben Zipperer (2019). “The Effect of Minimum Wages on Low-Wage Jobs. ” The Quarterly Journal of Economics 134(3). Clemens, Austin, Kavya Vaghul, John Schmitt, and Will McGrew (2019).
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4878/3

California’s Low-Wage Workers and Minimum Wage

Mar 11, 2024 - We apply this method to monthly CPS data from January 2022 through December 2023 to construct the estimates that appear in Figures 3 through 7 in the post Is California’s Minimum Wage High, Low, or Somewhere in Between?
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4878/4

Managing California’s Cash

Sep 3, 2019 - On a budgetary basis, this fund has grown from several hundreds of millions of dollars in the early 2000s to over $ 3  b illion in 2019. On a cash basis, the fund had $3. 5  b illion on June 30, 2019 —which represents 6  p ercent of total borrowable resources.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4092

Building Reserves to Prepare for a Recession

Mar 7, 2018 - Figure  3 shows estimates of tax revenue losses associated with each of the last three recessions: the recession of the early 1990s, the dot ‑com bust and ensuing recession in the early 2000s, and the financial crisis and Great Recession beginning in 2008.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3769

California’s Low-Wage Workers and Minimum Wage

Mar 11, 2024 - Over the last decade, two statutes —Chapter  351 of 2013 (AB  10, Alejo) and Chapter  4 of 2016 (SB  3, Leno) —gradually have increased California ’s statewide minimum wage from $8 per hour to $16 per hour.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4878

California’s Low-Wage Workers and Minimum Wage

Mar 11, 2024 - Figure  3 shows that most low-wage workers live in households without any children under 18. Roughly 20  percent live with one child, 15  percent with two children, and fewer than 10  percent with three or more children.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4878/1

California’s Low-Wage Workers and Minimum Wage

Mar 11, 2024 - As shown in Figure  3, our estimates suggest that the share of workers in low-wage jobs declines by more than one-third between the ages of 25 and 32. This decline suggests that a substantial share of workers spend just a handful of years in low-wage jobs before moving on to mid-to-high-wage jobs.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4878/2

The 2018-19 May Revision: LAO Economic Outlook

May 12, 2018 - The typical PE ratio since 1990 is 21 (19 if the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s and early 2000s is excluded). Similar to the price-to-earnings ratio, the home price-to-rent ratio is used to gauge if home prices are in line with underlying demand for housing.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3829

The 2019-20 Budget: Analysis of Proposed Earned Income Tax Credit Expansion

Mar 6, 2019 - Excluding the EITC, the Governor proposes $2. 7  b illion in new ongoing spending in 2019 ‑20, growing to $3. 5  b illion over time. We suggest the Legislature consider an EITC expansion relative to the ongoing spending proposals introduced by the Governor.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3960