U.S. Retail Sales Update: November 2022 [EconTax Blog]

Dec 15, 2022 - U.S. retail sales (seasonally adjusted) declined 0.6 percent from October to November.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/764

New Inflation Poses Not So New Budget Risk

Dec 15, 2022 - This means that a portion of any inflation created by the tax rebate program will be exported to the rest of the U.S. Once dissipated across the nearly $26  trillion U.S. economy, California ’s $9.5  billion in tax refunds represent, at most, a trivial contribution to broader inflationary pressures.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4653

Cannabis Tax Revenue Update [EconTax Blog]

Nov 18, 2022 - Cannabis Tax Revenue Update [EconTax Blog] Seth Kerstein In November 2016, California voters approved Proposition 64 , which legalized the nonmedical use of cannabis. Proposition 64 created two excise taxes on cannabis: a retail excise tax and a cultivation tax.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/762

October Tax Collections [EconTax Blog]

Nov 17, 2022 - October Tax Collections [EconTax Blog] Brian Uhler October collections from the state 's “big three ” tax revenues —personal income, corporation, and sales taxes —came in far ahead of Budget Act assumptions.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/761

Why Has Income Tax Withholding Lagged, Despite Job Growth? [EconTax Blog]

Nov 16, 2022 - Why Has Income Tax Withholding Lagged, Despite Job Growth? [EconTax Blog] Why Has Income Tax Withholding Lagged, Despite Job Growth? November 16, 2022 Chas Alamo Why Has Income Tax Withholding Lagged, Despite Job Growth?
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/759

The 2023-24 Budget: Medi-Cal Fiscal Outlook [Publication Details]

Nov 16, 2022 - This brief provides our annual fiscal outlook for General Fund spending in Medi-Cal. It summarizes our projections, describes the major factors driving our projections, and highlights several uncertainties.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Detail/4649

The 2023-24 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook

Nov 16, 2022 - Our estimate of the total Proposition  98 spending on schools and community colleges in 2022 ‑23 is $106.7  billion ($78.6  billion from the General Fund and $28.1  billion from local property taxes).
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4646

The 2023-24 Budget: Considering Inflation's Effects on State Programs

Nov 16, 2022 - In each case, the Legislature might set expectations for the other entit ies in using the funds, but to a large extent, the other entity is responsible for making decisions about how to allocate state funds, usually alongside other funding sources (such as local property tax revenue or student tuition revenue).
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4647

The 2023-24 Budget: Fiscal Outlook for Schools and Community Colleges

Nov 16, 2022 - Local Property Tax Estimates Reflect Trends in the Housing Market. Growth in property tax revenue is linked with growth in the housing market, but this growth typically lags the market by a few years.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4648

The 2023-24 Budget: Medi-Cal Fiscal Outlook

Nov 16, 2022 - The current MCO tax has been in place since January 2020 and is scheduled under current law to end in December 2022. We project the end of this tax will increase General Fund spending by $1.5 billion in 2023‑24.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4649