Building Reserves to Prepare for a Recession

Mar 7, 2018 - By most measures, the recession of the early 1990s was more severe than the dot ‑com bust in the early 2000s. For example, unemployment in California reached 9. 7  p ercent in mid ‑ to late ‑1992, but peaked at 6. 9  p ercent after the dot ‑com bust.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3769

Managing California’s Cash

Sep 3, 2019 - After a period of relative calm in the mid ‑ and late ‑1990s, California faced another series of years with acute budget problems following the dot ‑com bust and ensuing recession. Although the dot ‑com bust was relatively mild in economic terms, it hit the California budget —which is particularly reliant on the Bay Area ’s technology sector —especially hard.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4092

The 2018-19 May Revision: LAO Economic Outlook

May 12, 2018 - The typical PE ratio since 1990 is 21 (19 if the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s and early 2000s is excluded). Similar to the price-to-earnings ratio, the home price-to-rent ratio is used to gauge if home prices are in line with underlying demand for housing.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3829

The 2023-24 Budget: Multiyear Budget Outlook

May 23, 2023 - Across all programs in this agency (including, for example, Medi ‑Cal, In ‑Home Supportive Services, developmental services, and child care), our estimates are $6  billion higher than the administration ’s projection by 2026 ‑27.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4772

Understanding California's Sales Tax - Five Things to Know About California's Sales Tax [Video]

To view this video please enable JavaScript, and consider upgrading to a web browser that supports HTML5 video Five Things to Know About California 's Sales Tax May 6, 2015
https://lao.ca.gov/Videos/player?playlistId=94

The 2020-21 Budget: Overview of the Governor's Budget

Jan 13, 2020 - Governor Has a $6   Billion Surplus to Allocate. We estimate the Governor had a $6  b illion surplus to allocate in the 2020 ‑ 21 b udget process. (The box below gives more information on how we use the term “surplus ” in the Overview of the Governor ’s Budget .)
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4135

The 2020-21 Spending Plan: Tax Changes

Oct 5, 2020 - (Budget-related legislation enacted in June expanded the EITC and YCTC to ITIN filers with children under 6, but additional legislation in August broadened this expansion to all ITIN filers.) This expansion is assumed to reduce revenues by $125  million in 2020 ‑21.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4270

Fixing Unemployment Insurance

Dec 2, 2024 - During the phase ‑in period, the state also entered the dot ‑com recession. These two cost pressures absorbed the remaining flexibility in the state ’s UI tax system. As  shown in Figure  4 , the state began this period in Schedule C but quickly moved to Schedule F+, the highest tax schedule, where it has remained since.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4943

Tax Credit Expansions in the American Rescue Plan

Apr 13, 2021 - Maximum Benefit Increased to $3,600 for Dependents Under 6. The ARP expands the credit for 2021: For single filers with income of up to $75,000 ($112,500 for heads of household, $150,000 for joint filers), the maximum credit rises to $3,600 for dependents from ages 0 to 5 and $3,000 for dependents ages 6 to 17.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4410

How Will Aging Baby Boomers Affect Future Property Tax Revenues?

Jun 20, 2017 - This share is higher in some counties, such as San Luis Obispo (7  percent), El Dorado (6  percent), Sonoma (6  percent), and Santa Babara (5  percent). Figure  7 reports our estimates of these fiscal effects for the 25 counties where these effects are the largest.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3693