Building Reserves to Prepare for a Recession

Mar 7, 2018 - By most measures, the recession of the early 1990s was more severe than the dot ‑com bust in the early 2000s. For example, unemployment in California reached 9. 7  p ercent in mid ‑ to late ‑1992, but peaked at 6. 9  p ercent after the dot ‑com bust.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3769

The 2018-19 May Revision: LAO Economic Outlook

May 12, 2018 - The typical PE ratio since 1990 is 21 (19 if the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s and early 2000s is excluded). Similar to the price-to-earnings ratio, the home price-to-rent ratio is used to gauge if home prices are in line with underlying demand for housing.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3829

The 2017-18 Budget: Governor's Gann Limit Proposal

Mar 2, 2017 - As revenues surged during the dot ‑com boom of the late 1990s, however, the state approached the limit. The state had excess revenues in 1999 ‑00, but because appropriations were under the limit in 2000 ‑01, additional Proposition  98 spending and taxpayer rebates were not required.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3596

The 2019-20 Budget: California Spending Plan—Conformity

Oct 17, 2019 - The second change allows beneficiaries of existing Section 529 plan accounts to roll over those accounts to an ABLE account if the y have a qualified disability. The administration estimates that each of these changes will reduce PIT revenue by several hundred thousand dollars.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4100

The 2019-20 Budget: Tax Conformity

Mar 6, 2019 - In addition to the effective rate changes described above, the 2017 l aw made other changes that broadened the tax base —that is, reduced or eliminated various credits and deductions. Examples of these changes include eliminating personal exemptions, ending many individual and business deductions, and imposing new limits on other common deductions.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3959

Fixing Unemployment Insurance

Dec 2, 2024 - During the phase ‑in period, the state also entered the dot ‑com recession. These two cost pressures absorbed the remaining flexibility in the state ’s UI tax system. As  shown in Figure  4 , the state began this period in Schedule C but quickly moved to Schedule F+, the highest tax schedule, where it has remained since.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4943

The 2023-24 Budget: Considering Inflation's Effects on State Programs

Nov 16, 2022 - Fewer staff means higher caseloads, which can result in adverse impacts to program timeliness and accuracy, particularl y for redeterminations and case management. In another similar example, regional centers —which provide services to consumers with developmental disabilities —are funded by the state with a core staffing formula that largely has been frozen since 1991.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4647

Managing California’s Cash

Sep 3, 2019 - After a period of relative calm in the mid ‑ and late ‑1990s, California faced another series of years with acute budget problems following the dot ‑com bust and ensuing recession. Although the dot ‑com bust was relatively mild in economic terms, it hit the California budget —which is particularly reliant on the Bay Area ’s technology sector —especially hard.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4092

The 2018-19 Budget: California Hiring Tax Credits

Mar 15, 2018 - California comprehensively overhauled its economic development incentive programs in 2013 b y replacing the “Enterprise Zone ” programs with three new tax provisions: Manufacturer ’s Sales Tax Exemption.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3784

The 2021-22 Budget: Business Tax Incentives

Jan 28, 2021 - The Governor proposes to increase the total amount of California Competes credits that GO ‑Biz may award in 2020 ‑21 and 2021 ‑ 22 b y $ 90  m illion per year. The administration estimates that the resulting reductions in General Fund revenue would be $ 10  m illion in 2021 ‑22, $ 35  m illion in 2022 ‑23, $ 50  m illion in 2023 ‑24, and $ 85  m illion in later years.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4327