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Economy and Taxes (61)
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The Property Tax Inheritance Exclusion

Oct 9, 2017 - In 1986, voters approved Proposition   58 —a legislative constitutional amendment —which excludes certain property transfers between parents and children from reassessment. A decade later, Proposition  193 extended this exclusion to transfers between grandparents and grandchildren if the grandchildren ’s parents are deceased.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3706

Building Reserves to Prepare for a Recession

Mar 7, 2018 - To put this in more concrete but very rough terms, a moderate recession, like the dot ‑com bust, could lead to a $ 40  b illion budget problem. A more mild recession might result in a $ 20  b illion budget problem.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3769

The 2019-20 Budget: Overview of the Governor's Budget

Jan 14, 2019 - Figure 4 Summary of Governor ’s Disaster ‑Related Proposals for 2019 ‑20 ( In Millions)
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3916

The 2018-19 May Revision: LAO Economic Outlook

May 12, 2018 - The typical PE ratio since 1990 is 21 (19 if the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s and early 2000s is excluded). Similar to the price-to-earnings ratio, the home price-to-rent ratio is used to gauge if home prices are in line with underlying demand for housing.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3829

Managing California’s Cash

Sep 3, 2019 - After a period of relative calm in the mid ‑ and late ‑1990s, California faced another series of years with acute budget problems following the dot ‑com bust and ensuing recession. Although the dot ‑com bust was relatively mild in economic terms, it hit the California budget —which is particularly reliant on the Bay Area ’s technology sector —especially hard.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4092

California’s Low-Wage Workers and Minimum Wage

Mar 11, 2024 - For Low-Wage Workers, White-Latino Wage Gap Around 20  Percent. As shown in Figure  5, we estimate the wage gap between California ’s white and Latino low-wage workers to be around 20  percent. In other words, we estimate the 10 th percentile hourly wage for white workers to be roughly 20  percent higher than the 10 th percentile hourly wage for Latino workers.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4878/3

The 2024-25 Budget: Governor's Office of Business and Economic Development

Feb 20, 2024 - We estimate the Governor ’s budget predicts the state ’s 2024-25 budget will need to address a $58 billion deficit . In December, our office predicted a somewhat large deficit of $68 billion . Since then, recent data has continued to point to the budget problem being larger than the Governor’s budget assumes.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4846

The 2026-27 Budget: California Competes Extension

Mar 18, 2026 - This is especially consistent with the 20 18 changes, since professional service firms tend to be classed as “non-tradeable, ” meaning they are often already required to locate near their customer base, and thus tax incentives are unlikely to influence their decision to locate in California.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5162

How Will Aging Baby Boomers Affect Future Property Tax Revenues?

Jun 20, 2017 - In contrast, the typical homeowner over 65 has been in their home for over 20 years. A consequence of this is that the aging of California ’s homeowners will not just increase turnover, it will increase turnover of homes that have not changed hands in many years.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3693

Fixing Unemployment Insurance

Dec 2, 2024 - During the phase ‑in period, the state also entered the dot ‑com recession. These two cost pressures absorbed the remaining flexibility in the state ’s UI tax system. As  shown in Figure  4 , the state began this period in Schedule C but quickly moved to Schedule F+, the highest tax schedule, where it has remained since.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4943