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Economy and Taxes (10)
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California’s Low-Wage Workers and Minimum Wage

Mar 11, 2024 - Rate of Low-Wage Work Declines Substantially From Ages 25 to 32. As shown in Figure  3, our estimates suggest that the share of workers in low-wage jobs declines by more than one-third between the ages of 25 and 32.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4878/2

Building Reserves to Prepare for a Recession

Mar 7, 2018 - By most measures, the recession of the early 1990s was more severe than the dot ‑com bust in the early 2000s. For example, unemployment in California reached 9. 7  p ercent in mid ‑ to late ‑1992, but peaked at 6. 9  p ercent after the dot ‑com bust.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3769

The 2019-20 Budget: California Spending Plan—Conformity

Oct 17, 2019 - The administration estimates this change will increase CT revenue in 2019 ‑20 by $32  million. Ends “Technical Termination ” of Partnerships. The budget package repeals a rule that previously terminated partnerships when more than 50  percent of the partnership was sold or exchanged.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4100

An Update on California’s Cash Management Situation

Aug 31, 2020 - In fact, while the state has not used external borrowing for cash management since 2014, in the 32 years between 1983 and 2014 the state issued at least one RAN in every single year excep t two (1995 and 2000).
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4266

The 2018-19 May Revision: LAO Economic Outlook

May 12, 2018 - The typical PE ratio since 1990 is 21 (19 if the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s and early 2000s is excluded). Similar to the price-to-earnings ratio, the home price-to-rent ratio is used to gauge if home prices are in line with underlying demand for housing.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3829

Fixing Unemployment Insurance

Dec 2, 2024 - During the phase ‑in period, the state also entered the dot ‑com recession. These two cost pressures absorbed the remaining flexibility in the state ’s UI tax system. As  shown in Figure  4 , the state began this period in Schedule C but quickly moved to Schedule F+, the highest tax schedule, where it has remained since.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4943

Managing California’s Cash

Sep 3, 2019 - After a period of relative calm in the mid ‑ and late ‑1990s, California faced another series of years with acute budget problems following the dot ‑com bust and ensuing recession. Although the dot ‑com bust was relatively mild in economic terms, it hit the California budget —which is particularly reliant on the Bay Area ’s technology sector —especially hard.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4092

Common Claims About Proposition 13

Sep 19, 2016 - This share fell to a low of 32  percent in the mid –1980s . Since then, however, the share has risen. In 2015 –16 , homeowners paid about 37  percent of all property taxes. In part, this may be due to faster growth in the number of residential properties than the number of commercial and industrial properties.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3497

Improving California’s Unemployment Insurance Program

Aug 8, 2022 - Over this same period, employer appeals resulted in overturned decisions less often (32  percent of the time) than worker appeals. California ’s employer appeals result in overturned decisions about as often as other states (35  percent).
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4615

The 2017-18 Budget: Governor's Gann Limit Proposal

Mar 2, 2017 - As revenues surged during the dot ‑com boom of the late 1990s, however, the state approached the limit. The state had excess revenues in 1999 ‑00, but because appropriations were under the limit in 2000 ‑01, additional Proposition  98 spending and taxpayer rebates were not required.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3596