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Economy and Taxes (47)
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Building Reserves to Prepare for a Recession

Mar 7, 2018 - By most measures, the recession of the early 1990s was more severe than the dot ‑com bust in the early 2000s. For example, unemployment in California reached 9. 7  p ercent in mid ‑ to late ‑1992, but peaked at 6. 9  p ercent after the dot ‑com bust.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3769

The 2025-26 California Spending Plan: Other Provisions

Oct 16, 2025 - The budget provides $5  million in one-time General Fund for California Volunteers to offer grants to AmeriCorps programs to fund coaches at K-12 schools. This program has received limited-term funding in prior years, including $5  million in 2024-25.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5081/

Local Sales Tax Rebates in 2023-24

Sep 16, 2025 - In nine counties, rebates exceeded $5 per resident. In seven others, rebates ranged from $1 to $5 per resident. At the other end of the spectrum, in many counties —mostly less populous counties outside of the state ’s major metropolitan areas —no jurisdictions paid any rebates in 2023-24.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5074

The 2026-27 Budget: California Competes Extension

Mar 18, 2026 - Figure  5 shows both the total value of awards made and the amount recaptured for each year of the program. For awards made between 2014 and 2020, the recapture rate is almost 55  percent. This indicates that around half of the net job increases and investments promised in negotiated agreements ultimately never come to fruition or are not maintained long term.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5162

Managing California’s Cash

Sep 3, 2019 - The early 1990s were marked by a series of sales of RANs and RAWs —at the time, the largest such sales in the state ’s history (see Figure  5). Second Cash Crunch in Early 2000s. After a period of relative calm in the mid ‑ and late ‑1990s, California faced another series of years with acute budget problems following the dot ‑com bust and ensuing recession.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4092

Fixing Unemployment Insurance

Dec 2, 2024 - During the phase ‑in period, the state also entered the dot ‑com recession. These two cost pressures absorbed the remaining flexibility in the state ’s UI tax system. As  shown in Figure  4 , the state began this period in Schedule C but quickly moved to Schedule F+, the highest tax schedule, where it has remained since.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4943

The 2025-26 Budget: California’s Film Tax Credit

Feb 28, 2025 - Figure  5 shows the differing effects of these two events by comparing the total percent change in employment levels for California and the U.S. since 2019. The impact of COVID ‑19 was similar in California and the U.S. overall, and employment bounced back in both cases by the end of 2021.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5000

California’s Low-Wage Workers and Minimum Wage

Mar 11, 2024 - Estimating Characteristics of Low-Wage Workers In this section, we describe the method we use to construct the estimates displayed in Figures 2 through 5 in the post Who Are California’s Low-Wage Workers?
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4878/4

California’s Low-Wage Workers and Minimum Wage

Mar 11, 2024 - For Low-Wage Workers, Gender Wage Gap Around 5  Percent to 10  Percent. As shown in Figure  4, we estimate the wage gap between California ’s male and female low-wage workers to be around 5  percent to 10  percent.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4878/3