The 2025-26 Budget: Medi-Cal Fiscal Outlook

Nov 20, 2024 - This is because the measure requires the state to use more MCO tax money to increase Medi-Cal services, rather than to offset General Fund spending. The exact fiscal impact depends on how the state implements the measure ’s complex rules.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4941

The 2026-27 Budget: Department of Developmental Services

Mar 13, 2026 - For the period spanning from January 1, 2025 through June  30,  2026, providers could earn the quality incentive portion of rate models by enrolling in DDS ’s Provider Directory. As a budget solution, the 2025 ‑26 Budget Act added three criteria that providers must satisfy to be eligible to earn a quality payment equal to 10   percent of the rate
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5157

The 2024-25 Budget: The MCO Tax Package at May Revision

May 22, 2024 - Some money would remain in the reserve after this version of the MCO tax ends in 2026 to help sustain the augmentations in the future. This year ’s early action shifted $3.1  billion out of the reserve to help address the budget problem.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4905

Considering Medi-Cal in the Midst of a Changing Fiscal and Policy Landscape

Oct 24, 2025 - …But Potentially With Added Complexity. Adding more flexibilities also could come with the potential downside of more complexity for beneficiaries and counties. For example, exempting high unemployment counties from work requirements could create more volatility.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5083

Enhancing Federal Financial Participation for Consumers Served by the Department of Developmental Services

Nov 9, 2021 - Added State Costs Outside the DDS System Although DDS likely could achieve some savings by drawing down federal funding for children who are currently 100 p ercent state funded, there would be added Medi ‑Cal costs outside the DDS system for services such as IHSS and for regular Medi ‑Cal health insurance costs.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4471

The 2026-27 Budget: Medi-Cal Analysis

Mar 2, 2026 - One possible reason for our higher estimate is that our model reflects not only disenrollment among current enrollees, but also reduced enrollment flows over time and a persistent risk of disenrollment among eligible individuals due to added administrative burden.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5146

Climate Change Impacts Across California - Crosscutting Issues

Apr 5, 2022 - Similarly, rural communities that are at greater risk of experiencing water shortages due to droughts tend to be home to large proportions of households with residents of color and who earn lower incomes.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4575

Mental Health Services Act: Revenue Volatility and the Governor’s Proposal to Reduce Allowable County Reserves

Jul 13, 2023 - One way to measure the variability in a data series is average deviation (AD). AD summarizes —for a given time period —how many percentage points the data in a series deviate from the average growth rate.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4780

The 2025-26 Budget: Overview of the Governor's Budget

Jan 13, 2025 - The reason for the reduction is the recent voter approval of Proposition  35 (2024), which requires the state to spend less MCO tax money on offsetting General Fund spending and more money on provider rate increases.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4951

The 2025-26 Budget: Understanding Recent Increases in the Medi-Cal Senior Caseload

Mar 6, 2025 - In the paragraphs that follow, we provide our analysis that results in ou r estimate of at least 165,000 seniors being added due to eligibility expansions since 2020. (As a consequence of this estimate, it follows naturally that we estimate up to 60,000  seniors being added due to the effects of continuous coverage, the unwinding, and unwinding flexibilities, for a total increase of 225,000 seniors due to policy changes.)
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5010