The 2026-27 Budget: Department of Developmental Services

Mar 13, 2026 - The department stated that its budget projections for 2026 ‑27 do not incorporate any potential added costs due to the changes in H.R 1. Will the department be able to determine whether its costs increase in the future due to H.R. 1?
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5157

The 2026-27 Budget: Medi-Cal Analysis

Mar 2, 2026 - One possible reason for our higher estimate is that our model reflects not only disenrollment among current enrollees, but also reduced enrollment flows over time and a persistent risk of disenrollment among eligible individuals due to added administrative burden.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5146

Considering Medi-Cal in the Midst of a Changing Fiscal and Policy Landscape

Oct 24, 2025 - …But Potentially With Added Complexity. Adding more flexibilities also could come with the potential downside of more complexity for beneficiaries and counties. For example, exempting high unemployment counties from work requirements could create more volatility.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5083

The 2025-26 Budget: Understanding Recent Increases in the Medi-Cal Senior Caseload

Mar 6, 2025 - In the paragraphs that follow, we provide our analysis that results in ou r estimate of at least 165,000 seniors being added due to eligibility expansions since 2020. (As a consequence of this estimate, it follows naturally that we estimate up to 60,000  seniors being added due to the effects of continuous coverage, the unwinding, and unwinding flexibilities, for a total increase of 225,000 seniors due to policy changes.)
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5010

Building California’s Behavioral Health Infrastructure: Progress Update and Opportunities for the Proposition 1 Bond

Feb 5, 2025 - Strategies to do so have included expanding the behavioral health workforce; adding benefits and increasing rates in Medi ‑Cal; and increasing capacity through managed care plans, schools, and in other  settings.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4954

The 2022-23 Budget: Analysis of the Care Economy Workforce Development Package

Mar 10, 2022 - In other cases, it is defined to include a broader set of health professions such as social workers, physicians, and psychiatrists (in ad dition to the caregiving occupations just mentioned). For the purposes of this post, we define the care economy according to the latter approach, encompassing a broad range of health and human services professions.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4572

The 2024-25 Budget: Medi-Cal Analysis

Feb 14, 2024 - Such an approach could have the added benefit of spreading the fiscal risks of the proposed package over a longer period of time, including by delaying the timing of when the provider payment reserve is depleted.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4838

The 2021-22 Budget: Overview of the Governor's Budget

Jan 10, 2021 - The largest one-time initiatives are $175  million each for CSU and UC, with both segments able to use the funds for deferred maintenance and UC also able to use the funds explicitly for energy efficiency projects.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4309

The 2025-26 Budget: MCO Tax and Proposition 35

Feb 26, 2025 - Other state entities, such as UC and/or HCAI, may also play a role in implementing certain augmentations. With so many steps to undertake, it is likely that it will take months, or even longer, to begin implementing Proposition  35.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4992

Mental Health Services Act: Revenue Volatility and the Governor’s Proposal to Reduce Allowable County Reserves

Jul 13, 2023 - One way to measure the variability in a data series is average deviation (AD). AD summarizes —for a given time period —how many percentage points the data in a series deviate from the average growth rate.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4780