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Economy and Taxes (24)
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The 2026-27 Budget: California Competes Extension

Mar 18, 2026 - Placing a limit on how quickly the pool of recycled credits can be drawn down could smooth increased fiscal impacts over a longer period. Alternatively, the total size of the California Competes credit pool could be capped to place an upper limit on the fiscal impact of a full drawdown.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5162

Building Reserves to Prepare for a Recession

Mar 7, 2018 - These deposits were made in the 2006 ‑07 and 2007 ‑ 08 e nacted budgets when the economy was still expanding, but were quickly used to address budget deficits that emerged later on in the 2007 ‑08 fiscal year.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3769

The 2019-20 May Revision: Sales Tax Exemptions for Diapers and Menstrual Products

May 12, 2019 - The state funds various types of subsidized child care for low-income families, but the number of eligible children typically exceeds the number of “slots ” funded by the state. Due to this shortfall, the state fails to assist part of the targeted population and creates an inequity between those who receive slots and those who do not.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4040

Fixing Unemployment Insurance

Dec 2, 2024 - During the phase ‑in period, the state also entered the dot ‑com recession. These two cost pressures absorbed the remaining flexibility in the state ’s UI tax system. As  shown in Figure  4 , the state began this period in Schedule C but quickly moved to Schedule F+, the highest tax schedule, where it has remained since.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4943

The 2022-23 Budget: Fuel Price and Other Fiscal Relief Options

May 12, 2022 - Which Potential Policies Could Be Implemented Quickly and Efficiently? If one of the Legislature ’s goals is to provide timely relief to Californians, it also will want to consider which policies can be implemented quickly and efficiently.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4597

The 2019-20 Budget: Overview of the Governor's Budget

Jan 14, 2019 - These slots would be on top of the almost 9,000 full ‑day slots the state added over the past three years. Extending preschool to all children from low ‑income families is consistent with considerable research that has concluded the benefits of preschool are greatest for these children.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3916

The 2018-19 May Revision: LAO Economic Outlook

May 12, 2018 - The typical PE ratio since 1990 is 21 (19 if the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s and early 2000s is excluded). Similar to the price-to-earnings ratio, the home price-to-rent ratio is used to gauge if home prices are in line with underlying demand for housing.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3829

Managing California’s Cash

Sep 3, 2019 - After a period of relative calm in the mid ‑ and late ‑1990s, California faced another series of years with acute budget problems following the dot ‑com bust and ensuing recession. Although the dot ‑com bust was relatively mild in economic terms, it hit the California budget —which is particularly reliant on the Bay Area ’s technology sector —especially hard.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4092

Improving California’s Unemployment Insurance Program

Aug 8, 2022 - Viewed alongside the state ’s competing priority to deliver payments quickly and easily, the benefits of this level of emphasis may not justify the costs these practices carry for other eligible workers.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4615

How High? Adjusting California’s Cannabis Taxes

Dec 17, 2019 - Miller, Keaton and Boyoung Seo (2019). “Tax Revenues When Substances Substitute: Marijuana, Alcohol, and Tobacco. ” Mimeo, University of Oregon. National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine (2017).
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4125